VTD
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VTD
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
VTD exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -1.3889, which is close to the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 30.0/100 highlights significant weaknesses in cash conversion and revenue recognition.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.3889 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
- Earnings Quality Score of 30.0/100, with particularly low scores in receivables (0.0/100) and revenue (5.8/100), suggests poor earnings quality.
- DSRI of 1.6522 indicates that inventory growth is not excessively outpacing revenue, which may suggest some operational stability.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated among a few individuals, with the top five shareholders holding a combined 37.2%. This concentration could lead to governance issues and a lack of accountability.
Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for VTD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate