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Construction sector

VTX

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải Đa phương thức VIETRANSTIMEX
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
6.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
1.184
Current
6.000
Gap
-80.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Insufficient Earnings
BVPS
2.368
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
2.368

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VTX

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

19
Poor
Accrual Quality
44
Cash Conversion
11
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
32
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2022

-1.95
Moderate
DSRI
1.505
GMI
1.347
AQI
1.457
SGI
0.490
DEPI
0.802
SGAI
1.405
TATA
0.050
LVGI
0.962

VTX exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -1.9474, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 31.6/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, further raises red flags regarding the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9474 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 31.6/100, with cash conversion and revenue metrics at 0.0/100, suggesting serious issues with the quality of earnings.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.5054 indicates that the company is managing its inventory levels relatively well compared to sales, which could be a positive sign in terms of operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming ownership by Công ty Cổ phần Kho Vận Miền Nam at 93.2% raises concerns about governance and minority shareholder rights, potentially leading to decisions that favor the majority stakeholder.

Recommendation

Investors should approach VTX with caution, considering a deeper investigation into the company's financial practices and governance structure before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.97
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.86
Negative
Composite
6
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-38.0%
Volatility
113.0%
Max Drawdown
-66.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-3.56P/E
P/B2.53
P/S0.92
ROE-52.5%
ROA-17.2%
EPS-1684.93
BVPS2367.81
Gross Margin-3.2%
Net Margin-25.7%
D/E2.84
Current Ratio0.49
Rev Growth-25.8%
Profit Growth66.2%
EV/EBITDA-16.84
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
21.0M
Charter Capital
209.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Dịch vụ vận tải
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VTX — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Kho Vận Miền Nam
Inst
93.2%
19.5 trieu
Dương Thị Hồng Anh
Indiv
1.3%
276.200
Võ Duy Nghi
Indiv
0.6%
121.284
Công ty Cổ phần SCI
Inst
0.5%
98.374
Trần Nguyên Giáp
Indiv
0.4%
80.461
Nguyễn Thị Minh Tiên
Indiv
0.2%
50.000
Nguyễn Đăng Sâm
Indiv
0.1%
28.569
Nguyễn Tăng Mãng
Indiv
0.1%
28.279
Ngô Tứ
Indiv
0.1%
25.699
Lê Văn Hùng
Indiv
0.1%
23.230
Hà Tiến Đức
Indiv
0.1%
23.134
Phan Văn Phúc
Indiv
0.1%
22.051
Board & Management
Võ Duy Nghi0.6%
Tổng Giám đốc
Ngô Tứ0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Văn Phúc0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Trang
Trưởng phòng Tài chính
Nguyễn Thị Xuân
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
BÙI QUANG LIÊN
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Doãn Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Vũ Thành
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hồ Sĩ Tuấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Bảo Ngọc
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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