AGM
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — AGM
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2023
AGM shows significant signs of potential earnings manipulation with a Beneish M-Score of -1.6567, which is close to the manipulation threshold. The low Earnings Quality Score of 14.2/100, particularly concerning cash conversion and receivables, raises further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.6567 is close to the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
- Earnings Quality Score of 14.2/100, with cash conversion at 39.0/100 and receivables at 0.0/100, suggests poor earnings quality and potential overstatement of revenues.
- The DSRI of 2.3084 indicates that accounts receivable are growing faster than revenues, which could suggest aggressive revenue recognition practices but may also indicate strong sales growth if managed properly.
The ownership structure is relatively fragmented with no single entity holding a controlling stake, which may reduce the risk of collusion among major shareholders but could also lead to governance challenges.
Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor AGM's financial disclosures and cash flow statements. Consider waiting for improved earnings quality metrics before making significant investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for AGM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate