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Construction sector

SD9

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 9
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
11.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
35.619
Current
11.200
Gap
+218.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
49.12%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.14%
x
D/(D+E)
50.88%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
14.438
50%DCF Value
56.801
Blended Intrinsic
35.619
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SD9

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

67
Fair
Accrual Quality
73
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
23
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.55
Low Risk
DSRI
0.649
GMI
1.193
AQI
1.905
SGI
1.142
DEPI
0.943
SGAI
1.165
TATA
-0.067
LVGI
0.969

SD9 exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.5464, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 66.7/100, particularly low revenue quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality margin score is only 22.7/100, suggesting potential issues with profitability sustainability.
  • Revenue quality score is 0.0/100, indicating a complete lack of quality in revenue recognition, which is a significant concern.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.6488 indicates that accounts receivable are growing slower than sales, which is a positive sign for cash flow.
  • The cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tổng Công ty Sông Đà, holds a substantial 58.5% stake, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of the ownership structure on corporate governance. A cautious approach is advised given the mixed signals regarding earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.93
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.44
Negative
Composite
69
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+1.6%
Volatility
23.6%
Max Drawdown
-20.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.57P/E
P/B0.52
P/S0.74
ROE4.5%
ROA1.8%
EPS907.16
BVPS20186.59
Gross Margin35.3%
Net Margin6.4%
D/E0.97
Current Ratio1.55
Rev Growth14.2%
Profit Growth22.7%
EV/EBITDA5.01
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
34.2M
Charter Capital
342.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SD9 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
58.5%
20.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần VBP
Inst
4.1%
1.4 trieu
Lê Hải Đoàn
Indiv
0.4%
147.617
nguyen-dang-lanh
Indiv
0.3%
96.290
Dương Hữu Thắng
Indiv
0.2%
49.964
Board & Management
Lê Hải Đoàn0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thế Quang
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Anh Phương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hải Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Sỹ Tiến
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thu Phương
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lương Thế Lăng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Văn Quản
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thanh Hiến Yến
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Trần Thế Anh
Kế toán trưởng
Quách Mạnh Hải
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đoàn Hùng Trường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Huế
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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