VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

X26

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần 26
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
15.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
94.658
Current
15.000
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
46.78%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.35%
x
D/(D+E)
53.22%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.72%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF18.32B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
18.32B
Growth Rate
4.72%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
94.658
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — X26

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

64
Fair
Accrual Quality
89
Cash Conversion
31
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
90
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.34
High Risk
DSRI
0.812
GMI
1.091
AQI
2.779
SGI
1.461
DEPI
0.837
SGAI
0.902
TATA
0.028
LVGI
0.976

The Beneish M-Score of -1.3386 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly with a cash conversion score of only 30.9, suggesting potential issues with cash flow relative to reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Cash conversion score of 30.9 indicates poor cash flow management relative to earnings.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0 suggests that reported revenues may not be reliable.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.3386 suggests a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0 indicates effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Bộ Quốc Phòng (51.0%) indicates a strong state influence, which may lead to operational stability but also raises concerns about transparency and accountability in corporate governance.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and revenue recognition practices, considering the low cash conversion and revenue quality scores. A deeper analysis of operational efficiency and potential state influence on management decisions is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.63
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-1.33
Negative
Composite
60
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-14.5%
Volatility
80.7%
Max Drawdown
-47.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
13.83P/E
P/B0.22
P/S0.07
ROE9.9%
ROA4.6%
EPS6554.53
BVPS67611.24
Gross Margin10.4%
Net Margin2.9%
D/E1.14
Current Ratio1.51
Rev Growth46.1%
Profit Growth79.3%
EV/EBITDA-1.23
Div Yield6.7%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.0M
Charter Capital
50.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for X26 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Bộ Quốc Phòng
State
51.0%
2.5 trieu
Trịnh Xuân Hiếu
Indiv
11.2%
559.473
Nguyễn Văn Huân
Indiv
7.8%
389.414
Chu Đức Thịnh
Indiv
4.4%
222.200
Bùi Văn Phong
Indiv
0.8%
40.300
Nguyễn Thị Xoa
Indiv
0.4%
21.300
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Indiv
0.1%
5.400
Board & Management
Trịnh Xuân Hiếu11.2%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Chu Đức Thịnh4.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Văn Phong0.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Thị Thu Hường
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Hưng Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Cảnh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Kim Nhung
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Việt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Mai Văn Đông
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →