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Consumer sector

DHN

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dược phẩm Hà Nội
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
22.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
45.676
Current
22.500
Gap
+103.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
87.74%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.27%
x
D/(D+E)
12.26%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF16.19B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
16.19B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
45.676
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DHN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

75
Good
Accrual Quality
86
Cash Conversion
100
Margin Stability
92
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-0.28
High Risk
DSRI
3.325
GMI
1.139
AQI
1.000
SGI
0.964
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.822
TATA
0.040
LVGI
1.249

The Beneish M-Score of -0.2788 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well above the threshold of -1.78. However, the high DSRI of 3.3252 and low cash conversion score of 36.6/100 raise concerns about potential revenue recognition issues and cash flow sustainability.

Red Flags
  • High DSRI of 3.3252 suggests significant growth in receivables relative to sales, indicating potential issues with revenue collection.
  • Low cash conversion score of 36.6/100 signals that only a small portion of earnings is being converted into cash, which could impact liquidity.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 56.5/100 reflects a balanced performance, particularly with a perfect margin score of 100.0/100, indicating strong profitability.
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.2788 suggests that the likelihood of earnings manipulation is low, which is a positive indicator for investors.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include a significant institutional stake of 40.0%, which may provide stability. However, the high concentration of individual ownership (45.3% combined) could lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow trends and receivables management while considering the strong profitability metrics. A cautious approach is advised, potentially waiting for improved cash conversion before making significant investments.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
11.56
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-1.01
Negative
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-21.5%
Volatility
59.9%
Max Drawdown
-42.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
11.24P/E
P/B1.87
P/S2.01
ROE18.4%
ROA15.8%
EPS2556.37
BVPS14597.11
Gross Margin42.5%
Net Margin18.8%
D/E0.14
Current Ratio6.66
Rev Growth-4.8%
Profit Growth4.7%
EV/EBITDA8.09
Div Yield7.3%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.3M
Charter Capital
62.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DHN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Kinh Doanh Và Đầu Tư Việt Hà
Inst
40.0%
2.5 trieu
Đỗ Thị Nga
Indiv
19.8%
1.2 trieu
nguyen-dieu-trinh
Indiv
15.6%
978.824
Nguyễn Đức Thắng
Indiv
9.6%
606.222
Tô Đông Tiến
Indiv
2.9%
185.316
Nguyễn Thị Bích Thủy
Indiv
0.3%
17.198
Board & Management
Đỗ Thị Nga19.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
ĐINH QUANG HÀO
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Lan Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Hồng Minh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
NGUYỄN VIỆT CƯỜNG
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Kim Cúc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Tuân
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Phú Bình
Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Minh Trang
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Phương Thảo
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đàm Quang Minh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Nguyễn Thanh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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