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Consumer sector

BEL

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Điện tử Biên Hòa
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng hóa giải tríCT
16.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.162
Current
16.200
Gap
-62.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
89.82%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.70%
x
D/(D+E)
10.18%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF1.93B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
1.93B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
6.162
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BEL

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
95
Cash Conversion
59
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
67
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.39
Moderate
DSRI
0.622
GMI
1.106
AQI
0.876
SGI
1.457
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.557
TATA
0.012
LVGI
0.988

BEL exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.3909, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the high SGI of 1.4570 and low cash conversion metrics suggest potential concerns regarding revenue sustainability and cash flow quality.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.4570 indicates aggressive revenue growth that may not be supported by underlying cash flows.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 68.6/100, particularly low cash conversion at 59.3/100, raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3909 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, a state-owned enterprise, holds 51.0% of BEL, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence on corporate governance. The significant individual ownership could also impact decision-making and stability.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor BEL's revenue growth and cash flow metrics, and consider conducting further due diligence on the sustainability of its earnings. Given the elevated risk level, a cautious approach is advised.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
11.12
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.61
Negative
Composite
31
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-38.8%
Volatility
94.6%
Max Drawdown
-65.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
28.71P/E
P/B1.52
P/S5.48
ROE5.3%
ROA4.8%
EPS564.18
BVPS10629.15
Gross Margin57.6%
Net Margin19.1%
D/E0.11
Current Ratio34.05
Rev Growth45.7%
Profit Growth33.0%
EV/EBITDA38.46
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.0M
Charter Capital
60.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng hóa giải trí
Sub-industry
Điện tử tiêu dùng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BEL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Điện tử và Tin học Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
3.1 trieu
Vũ Song Toàn
Indiv
18.0%
1.1 trieu
Phạm Văn Viện
Indiv
12.3%
737.930
nguyen-tien-hung
Indiv
6.9%
412.840
Đinh Thị Hồng Nga
Indiv
6.2%
373.400
Công ty TNHH Thương mại Dịch vụ Nam Thiên Hà
Inst
4.8%
290.000
Phạm Thu Vân
Indiv
3.2%
192.200
Nguyễn Đình Cường
Indiv
2.8%
170.000
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Tài Sản Việt Nam
Inst
2.5%
150.000
Phạm Hoàng Thân
Indiv
0.6%
37.300
Trần Đình Sơn
Indiv
0.5%
31.700
Nguyễn Phước Hiệp
Indiv
0.2%
11.300
Võ Văn Nam
Indiv
0.1%
7.600
Board & Management
Vũ Song Toàn18.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đình Cường2.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Phước Hiệp0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Võ Văn Nam0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Hữu Phước
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Võ Văn Chúng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Vi Minh
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Thị Như Ái
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Văn Viết Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Vĩnh Thành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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