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Technology sector

POT

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần Thiết bị Bưu điện
Công nghệ Thông tin/Thiết bị và Phần cứngCT
19.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.088
Current
19.800
Gap
-59.1%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTCông nghệ Thông tinTechnology
Classified as technology because ICB sector "Công nghệ Thông tin" maps to the technology group
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
16.176
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
16.176

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — POT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
79
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.52
Low Risk
DSRI
0.991
GMI
0.819
AQI
0.936
SGI
1.081
DEPI
1.401
SGAI
1.288
TATA
0.004
LVGI
1.006

The forensic assessment of POT indicates elevated risk primarily due to concerning earnings quality metrics and a Beneish M-Score suggesting potential manipulation. While the ownership structure is dominated by a state-owned enterprise, which can provide stability, the overall financial indicators raise significant red flags.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.5217, indicating potential earnings manipulation as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 40.4/100, with a particularly low cash conversion score of 0.0/100, suggesting poor cash flow relative to reported earnings.
  • SGI of 1.0812 indicates higher than average sales growth, but combined with low revenue quality scores, this raises concerns about sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.9909 suggests that accounts receivable are well-managed relative to sales, which is a positive sign.
  • High eq_accrual score of 98.2/100 indicates that reported earnings are largely based on actual accruals rather than aggressive accounting practices.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam, holds 50% of the shares, which may provide stability but also raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor future earnings reports and cash flow statements. Consider waiting for clearer signs of improved earnings quality and transparency before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.83
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.28
Positive
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+34.8%
Volatility
73.9%
Max Drawdown
-30.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
35.65P/E
P/B1.24
P/S0.22
ROE3.5%
ROA0.4%
EPS561.00
BVPS16175.61
Gross Margin8.0%
Net Margin0.6%
D/E7.64
Current Ratio1.08
Rev Growth8.1%
Profit Growth224.5%
EV/EBITDA12.74
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
19.4M
Charter Capital
194.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Phần cứng
Sub-industry
Phần cứng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for POT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam
Inst
50.0%
9.7 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Dương
Indiv
15.8%
3.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán LPBank
Inst
11.3%
2.2 trieu
Phạm Thị Thanh Hồng
Indiv
4.5%
882.320
Nguyễn Tuấn Hà
Indiv
3.0%
574.280
Trần Hải Văn
Indiv
1.0%
203.323
Nguyễn Huyền Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
47.394
Vương Xuân Hoà
Indiv
0.2%
29.289
Trần Thị Hòa
Indiv
0.1%
28.872
Trần Quý Thu
Indiv
0.1%
23.807
nguyen-tien-hung
Indiv
0.1%
23.391
Board & Management
Trần Hải Vân1.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Huyền Sơn0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Hòa0.1%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tiến Hùng0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Huy Đồng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Hoàng Công
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lương Tuấn Phương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
NGUYỄN MẠNH HÙNG
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Cảnh Huy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Thị Bích Hồng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh An Huy
Tổng Giám đốc
Ma Thị Nghiệm
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Minh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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