KTC
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — KTC
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
KTC exhibits several concerning financial metrics indicating potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.5654, which is close to the manipulation threshold. The company's earnings quality score of 29.2/100, especially the zero scores in cash conversion and receivables, raises significant red flags regarding the reliability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.5654, indicating potential manipulation as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
- Earnings Quality Score of 29.2/100, with eq_cash_conv and eq_receivables both at 0.0/100, suggesting severe issues in cash flow and revenue recognition.
- DSRI of 1.6323 indicates a potential increase in inventory, which could reflect growth if managed properly.
- SGI of 1.0911 suggests that sales are growing, which could be positive if supported by actual cash flows.
The top shareholders include significant state and institutional ownership, with 49.0% held by the local government, which may provide stability but also raises concerns about transparency and potential conflicts of interest in financial reporting.
Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor KTC's financial disclosures and cash flow statements. A thorough due diligence process is recommended before making any investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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