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Construction sector

CIG

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần COMA 18
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
6.390
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.159
Current
6.390
Gap
-34.9%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
21.26%
+
Kd(1-t)
8.00%
x
D/(D+E)
78.74%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
209
50%DCF Value
8.110
Blended Intrinsic
4.159
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CIG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

37
Weak
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

1.92
High Risk
DSRI
0.710
GMI
0.955
AQI
0.687
SGI
5.480
DEPI
3.575
SGAI
0.192
TATA
0.085
LVGI
1.038

CIG exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 1.9196, which exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 36.5/100, particularly low cash conversion metrics, raises further concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 1.9196 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 36.5/100 suggests poor earnings quality, with cash conversion at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.7099 indicates lower risk of revenue manipulation through inventory adjustments.
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are individuals with significant stakes, with the largest holding at 24.3%, indicating potential concentration risk and governance challenges typical in Vietnamese SOEs.

Recommendation

Investors should approach CIG with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements. Consider diversifying investments to mitigate risks associated with potential earnings manipulation.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.23
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.88
Negative
Composite
28
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-5.0%
Volatility
35.0%
Max Drawdown
-43.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
2.38P/E
P/B0.82
P/S0.63
ROE57.6%
ROA8.7%
EPS2681.29
BVPS7746.37
Gross Margin29.8%
Net Margin26.4%
D/E4.47
Current Ratio0.71
Rev Growth442.7%
Profit Growth151.3%
EV/EBITDA2.34
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
51.0M
Charter Capital
510.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CIG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Trần Thị Liên
Indiv
24.3%
7.7 trieu
nguyen-van-dat
Indiv
11.0%
5.6 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Tuế
Indiv
11.0%
5.6 trieu
Nguyễn Minh Thư
Indiv
10.8%
5.5 trieu
Lương Thị Ngọc Trang
Indiv
7.8%
4.0 trieu
Nguyễn Hải Đăng
Indiv
6.7%
3.4 trieu
Trần Đức Minh
Indiv
4.3%
1.3 trieu
Đỗ Quang Khuê
Indiv
4.1%
1.3 trieu
Lê Thị Vân Anh
Indiv
1.8%
590.800
BÙI QUANG ĐÔNG
Indiv
0.4%
140.038
Nguyễn Thị Lộc Phú
Indiv
0.3%
106.400
Nguyễn Văn Toản
Indiv
0.2%
56.900
Board & Management
Lê Thị Vân Anh1.8%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
BÙI QUANG ĐÔNG0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Loan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Thị Thu Hà
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Lê Quang Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Đức Thành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Nhàn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đào Thanh Hiền
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Văn Biên
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đình Anh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
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