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Construction sector

CDC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Chương Dương
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
21.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.580
Current
21.700
Gap
-74.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
11.160
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
11.160

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CDC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

36
Weak
Accrual Quality
34
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
10
Revenue Quality
41

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.32
High Risk
DSRI
1.480
GMI
1.064
AQI
0.266
SGI
0.882
DEPI
1.732
SGAI
0.752
TATA
0.199
LVGI
0.914

CDC exhibits several concerning financial metrics indicative of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.3218, which is above the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 36.1/100, combined with low cash conversion metrics, raises further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.3218, indicating potential earnings manipulation risk as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 36.1/100, highlighting significant issues with cash conversion (0.0/100) and profit margins (10.0/100).
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests strong management of receivables, which could indicate effective collection practices.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant controlling stake, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest among minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow analysis and management practices, before considering any investment in CDC.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.43
Distress Zone
Sharpe
1.14
Excellent
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+78.9%
Volatility
34.9%
Max Drawdown
-28.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
47.78P/E
P/B1.94
P/S1.11
ROE5.2%
ROA1.0%
EPS454.21
BVPS11159.79
Gross Margin5.5%
Net Margin2.3%
D/E2.40
Current Ratio2.39
Rev Growth-11.8%
Profit Growth-0.3%
EV/EBITDA73.40
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
52.8M
Charter Capital
527.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CDC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Lê Phong Hiếu
Indiv
8.8%
1.4 trieu
Phùng Khánh Ly
Indiv
5.8%
3.1 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Trang
Indiv
5.7%
2.5 trieu
Đỗ Ngọc Mai
Indiv
5.0%
2.6 trieu
Đậu Hoàng Linh
Indiv
4.8%
2.6 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Kim Huế
Indiv
4.6%
2.4 trieu
Trần Hữu Duyên
Indiv
4.6%
717.200
Công ty TNHH MTV Tài chính Cao su
Inst
4.3%
680.000
Hồ Đình Thuần
Indiv
4.0%
870.500
Trịnh Duy Minh
Indiv
3.7%
822.853
Văn Minh Hoàng
Indiv
2.6%
1.4 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Loan Anh
Indiv
1.6%
846.247
nguyen-van-dat
Indiv
1.0%
154.335
Đặng Trung Chính
Indiv
0.7%
109.176
Lê Văn Chính
Indiv
0.6%
141.544
Phạm Hữu Hòa
Indiv
0.5%
79.048
Nguyễn Nữ Thạch Sương
Indiv
0.5%
109.214
Mai Xuân Chiêm
Indiv
0.4%
209.390
nguyen-thanh-son
Indiv
0.3%
49.960
Thái Văn Thọ
Indiv
0.2%
31.544
Nguyễn Xuân Giao
Indiv
0.2%
24.505
Board & Management
Hồ Đình Thuần4.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Văn Minh Hoàng2.6%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Chính0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hồng Tuyên
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Chí Tùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quang Huy
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đoàn Thanh Tùng
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Lê Minh Thành
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ngọc Tài
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Việt Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Thị Diễm Hằng
Kế toán trưởng
Sái Thanh Hoan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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