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Consumer sector

SBB

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Bia Sài Gòn Bình Tây
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Bia và đồ uốngCT
16.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.348
Current
16.200
Gap
+13.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
61.27%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.41%
x
D/(D+E)
38.73%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF87.98B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
87.98B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
18.348
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SBB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

35
Weak
Accrual Quality
60
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.07
High Risk
DSRI
1.364
GMI
0.539
AQI
0.935
SGI
1.457
DEPI
3.532
SGAI
0.274
TATA
0.100
LVGI
0.838

SBB exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.0727, which is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 35.0/100, combined with a high DSRI of 1.3638 and a low cash conversion score of 0.0/100, raises significant red flags regarding financial integrity.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.0727 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI of 1.3638 suggests that the company's receivables are growing faster than revenues, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 35.0/100, with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100, highlights severe issues in converting earnings into cash.
Positive Signals
  • High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates that the company is effectively managing its receivables.
  • The presence of institutional ownership at 65.9% (combined from top shareholders) may provide some level of oversight and stability.
Ownership Risk

The dominant institutional ownership of 59.6% by Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước Giải khát Sài Gòn suggests a concentrated control that may limit minority shareholder influence, posing a risk to governance.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor SBB's financial disclosures and consider a cautious approach, as the elevated risk of earnings manipulation could impact future performance. Engaging with management for clarity on cash flow and revenue recognition practices is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.01
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.44
Positive
Composite
49
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+21.5%
Volatility
37.2%
Max Drawdown
-13.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.02P/E
P/B1.12
P/S0.46
ROE14.9%
ROA8.6%
EPS2081.82
BVPS14927.65
Gross Margin9.1%
Net Margin5.7%
D/E0.63
Current Ratio1.29
Rev Growth45.7%
Profit Growth159.4%
EV/EBITDA5.77
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
87.5M
Charter Capital
875.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Bia và đồ uống
Sub-industry
Sản xuất bia
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SBB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước Giải khát Sài Gòn
Inst
59.6%
52.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Rượu Bình Tây
Inst
6.3%
5.5 trieu
nguyen-thi-hanh
Indiv
1.8%
1.6 trieu
Đinh Văn Thành
Indiv
1.1%
1.0 trieu
Phạm Thị Cẩn
Indiv
1.1%
961.175
Văn Thảo Nguyên
Indiv
0.9%
813.944
Văn Bảo Ngọc
Indiv
0.8%
720.744
Công Ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Polyco
Inst
0.5%
460.814
nguyen-huynh-loan-anh
Indiv
0.4%
321.626
Đinh Văn Thành
Indiv
0.3%
248.533
Đinh Phương Thảo
Indiv
0.3%
248.533
Đặng Thái
Indiv
0.2%
150.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Xuân Hải
Tổng Giám đốc
Văn Bá Nam
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Văn Thanh Liêm
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Đăng Lạng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Văn Thuận
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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