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Consumer sector

GDT

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Chế biến Gỗ Đức Thành
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng gia dụngCT
19.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
31.984
Current
19.200
Gap
+66.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
63.97%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.28%
x
D/(D+E)
36.03%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend6.35%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF50.28B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
50.28B
Growth Rate
6.35%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
31.984
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GDT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

67
Fair
Accrual Quality
91
Cash Conversion
67
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
47
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.25
Moderate
DSRI
1.119
GMI
0.888
AQI
0.966
SGI
0.991
DEPI
1.022
SGAI
0.744
TATA
0.022
LVGI
0.828

GDT's Beneish M-Score of -2.2481 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 66.7/100, particularly low revenue quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for revenue indicates potential issues with revenue recognition practices.
  • The SGI of 0.9913 suggests that sales growth is slowing, which may indicate a lack of demand or market share erosion.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 1.1186 is slightly above 1, indicating that the company is managing its receivables well relative to sales.
  • High accrual score of 91.4/100 suggests that the company has a strong ability to convert earnings into cash.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows significant concentration with the top shareholder holding 25%, which may lead to governance risks if decisions are not aligned with minority shareholders' interests.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor GDT's revenue recognition practices and overall sales trends. Consider a cautious approach until there is clearer evidence of sustainable revenue growth and improved earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.26
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.57
Negative
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-5.5%
Volatility
11.6%
Max Drawdown
-21.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.67P/E
P/B1.39
P/S1.49
ROE22.7%
ROA13.7%
EPS2976.96
BVPS14278.84
Gross Margin42.4%
Net Margin22.3%
D/E0.56
Current Ratio2.37
Rev Growth-0.9%
Profit Growth35.2%
EV/EBITDA5.43
Div Yield5.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
24.9M
Charter Capital
249.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng gia dụng
Sub-industry
Thiết bị gia dụng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for GDT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Lê Hải Liễu
Indiv
25.0%
6.2 trieu
Nguyễn Hà Ngọc Diệp
Indiv
5.7%
1.4 trieu
Vietnam Holding Ltd
Inst
5.0%
741.776
america limited liability company
Inst
4.8%
1.0 trieu
afc vietnam fund
Inst
4.7%
1.0 trieu
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam RSP Balanced Fund
Inst
4.1%
888.411
Vũ Tuyết Phương
Indiv
4.1%
508.600
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
3.6%
609.040
Lê Như Vũ
Indiv
3.5%
696.873
Lê Hồng Thành
Indiv
3.0%
734.023
Lê Hồng Thắng
Indiv
2.6%
651.176
Lê Phước Lành
Indiv
1.7%
414.781
Lê Tấn Lợi
Indiv
0.9%
237.717
Huỳnh Thị Thanh
Indiv
0.8%
206.257
Kim Investment Funds - Kim Vietnam Growth Fund
Inst
0.6%
124.740
Lê Thu Cúc
Indiv
0.5%
135.282
Lê Hải Lý
Indiv
0.5%
135.282
Lê Thu Vân
Indiv
0.5%
135.282
Nguyễn Đông Nam
Indiv
0.5%
117.115
Kitmc Vietnam Growth Fund
Inst
0.5%
88.660
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Huyền
Indiv
0.4%
86.905
Nguyễn Thị Phương Lan
Indiv
0.3%
65.707
Bùi Phương Thảo
Indiv
0.3%
65.082
Hồ Phạm Huy Ánh
Indiv
0.2%
57.977
Hoàng Minh Khôi
Indiv
0.2%
55.000
Hồ Trọng Phương
Indiv
0.2%
54.112
Nguyễn Kim Lê Chuyên
Indiv
0.2%
25.000
Lê Trọng Nhân
Indiv
0.2%
50.457
Trương Thị Bình
Indiv
0.2%
49.854
Lê Thị Hải Lài
Indiv
0.1%
34.448
Trần Ngọc Hùng
Indiv
0.1%
25.425
Trương Thị Diệu Lê
Indiv
0.1%
25.314
nguyen-cong-hieu
Indiv
0.1%
25.501
Board & Management
Lê Hải Liễu25.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hà Ngọc Diệp5.7%
Giám đốc Tài chính/Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Hồng Thành3.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Hồng Thắng2.6%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Huyền0.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Tình0.3%
Giám đốc
Bùi Phương Thảo0.3%
Kế toán trưởng
Trương Thị Bình0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Trương Thị Diệu Lê0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Trần Ngọc Hùng0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Đức
Phó Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Trần Xuân Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Hoàng Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Tường Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
CHẾ ĐÔNG KHÁNH
Giám đốc Sản xuất
Lê Công Tú
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Nguyễn Hoàng Minh Tâm
Phó Giám đốc Sản xuất
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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