HAG
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HAG
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
HAG exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -2.1356, which is below the threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 59.9 suggests some level of reliability, the low cash conversion rate of 39.4 indicates potential issues with cash flow management.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.1356 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the -1.78 threshold.
- Earnings quality cash conversion score of 39.4/100 is significantly low, suggesting poor cash flow relative to reported earnings.
- Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about the legitimacy of revenue recognition.
- DSRI of 0.7519 indicates that accounts receivable are growing slower than sales, which is a positive sign for revenue recognition.
- High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests that the company is effective in collecting receivables.
The ownership structure is concentrated, with the largest shareholder holding 24.4%, which may lead to potential governance issues and lack of accountability. However, the presence of institutional investors may provide some level of oversight.
Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding cash flow management and revenue recognition practices. Monitoring future earnings reports for improvements in cash conversion and revenue quality is advisable.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for HAG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate