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Utilities sector

HWS

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Huế
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
15.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.974
Current
15.100
Gap
+25.7%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.60%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS950
Payout ratio61.0%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
950
Base Growth
3.60%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
18.974
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HWS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

79
Good
Accrual Quality
73
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
20

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.92
Low Risk
DSRI
0.985
GMI
1.001
AQI
0.732
SGI
0.998
DEPI
0.972
SGAI
1.022
TATA
-0.069
LVGI
0.968

HWS exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.9217, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 78.6 suggests potential concerns, particularly in revenue recognition, which could impact future performance.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score for revenue is only 20.2/100, indicating significant concerns regarding revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion metrics with an eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100, indicating effective cash management.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership at 70.0% may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence on corporate governance, which could affect minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of high state ownership on governance. A cautious approach is advised until further clarity on earnings quality is achieved.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.82
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.54
Negative
Composite
56
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-14.4%
Volatility
15.5%
Max Drawdown
-22.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.26P/E
P/B1.17
P/S1.97
ROE12.7%
ROA7.2%
EPS1619.90
BVPS12790.60
Gross Margin43.7%
Net Margin21.2%
D/E0.74
Current Ratio2.00
Rev Growth-0.2%
Profit Growth5.1%
EV/EBITDA4.82
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
87.6M
Charter Capital
876.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HWS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Thừa Thiên Huế
State
70.0%
61.3 trieu
Trương Phước Tuệ
Indiv
4.9%
4.3 trieu
Công ty CP Dnp Hawaco
Inst
2.9%
2.5 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Indiv
2.9%
2.5 trieu
Nguyễn Liên Minh
Indiv
0.4%
395.900
Nguyễn Thị Liên Ngọc
Indiv
0.4%
356.200
Trương Công Nam
Indiv
0.3%
296.800
Trương Ngự Bình
Indiv
0.3%
300.297
Nguyễn Mạnh Tuấn
Indiv
0.3%
233.700
Trần Thị Kim Hồng
Indiv
0.2%
209.100
Trương Công Mỹ
Indiv
0.2%
196.400
Nguyễn Lê Thanh Uyên
Indiv
0.2%
181.800
Nguyễn Hữu Cự
Indiv
0.2%
178.200
Trần Huỳnh Quỳnh Như
Indiv
0.2%
142.900
Nguyễn Thị Quỳnh Anh
Indiv
0.1%
100.800
Nguyễn Đăng Bình
Indiv
0.1%
95.200
Trần Thị Phương Thảo
Indiv
0.1%
95.200
Trần Thị Bé
Indiv
0.1%
90.100
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Liên Ngọc0.4%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trương Công Nam0.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Tuấn0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Minh Châu
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Công Hân
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Quý Dương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ái Minh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Văn Thọ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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