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BGW
UtilitiesCông ty Cổ phần Nước sạch Bắc Giang
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
16.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.108
Current
16.000
Gap
-36.8%
ModelDDM 3STAGE
Valuation Breakdown
CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend1.39%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→548
Payout ratio→75.5%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
548
Base Growth
1.39%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
10.108
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BGW
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
61
Fair
Accrual Quality
54Cash Conversion
100Receivables
0Margin Stability
60Revenue Quality
89Quantitative Scores
F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.27
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.22
Negative
Composite
36
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-12.2%
Volatility
77.3%
Max Drawdown
-23.8%
Key Ratios
Fiscal year 2025
17.77P/E
P/B1.47
P/S1.48
ROE8.4%
ROA6.9%
EPS900.56
BVPS10859.49
Gross Margin42.1%
Net Margin8.3%
D/E0.23
Current Ratio2.27
Rev Growth9.4%
Profit Growth42.3%
EV/EBITDA5.24
Div Yield0.0%
Company Overview
Issued Shares
18.1M
Charter Capital
181.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for BGW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate
Computed 12/04/2026