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Construction sector

LQN

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Licogi Quảng Ngãi
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
34.142
Current
2.200
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
12.20%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
50%DCF Value
34.142
Blended Intrinsic
34.142
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LQN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

42
Weak
Accrual Quality
46
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

1.27
High Risk
DSRI
1.218
GMI
9.828
AQI
0.816
SGI
1.130
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.745
TATA
-0.223
LVGI
1.125

LQN exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 1.2697, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 29.5/100 further highlights concerns regarding the company's financial reporting integrity.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 1.2697 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 29.5/100 suggests poor earnings quality, particularly with an eq_margin of 0.0/100.
  • GMI of 9.8277 indicates a high likelihood of revenue manipulation.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.2179 suggests that inventory is increasing at a reasonable rate compared to sales.
  • SGAI of 0.7446 indicates that selling, general, and administrative expenses are well-controlled relative to sales growth.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty LICOGI (64.8%) raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder influence, which could exacerbate governance issues.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider conducting further due diligence on LQN's financial practices and governance structure before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.96
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.27
Negative
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
121.8%
Max Drawdown
-54.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-2.18P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.11
ROE7.5%
ROA-2.1%
EPS-1010.23
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin12.7%
Net Margin-5.1%
D/E-4.99
Current Ratio0.53
Rev Growth225.4%
Profit Growth74.5%
EV/EBITDA6.94
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1.9M
Charter Capital
18.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LQN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty LICOGI
Inst
64.8%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Ngọc Thiên
Indiv
1.6%
30.430
Hồ Văn Kiều
Indiv
1.4%
26.100
Phạm Hồng Thanh
Indiv
0.7%
12.300
Lê Trường Khánh
Indiv
0.5%
9.000
TẠ CÔNG NAM
Indiv
0.3%
6.000
Dương Thị Thường
Indiv
0.2%
3.400
Nguyễn Văn Hải
Indiv
0.1%
2.800
Vũ Trọng Quý
Indiv
0.1%
2.070
Board & Management
Nguyễn Ngọc Thiên1.6%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Phạm Hồng Thanh0.7%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Trường Khánh0.5%
Phó Giám đốc
TẠ CÔNG NAM0.3%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Hải0.1%
Phó Giám đốc
Vũ Trọng Quý0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Quốc Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thanh Nội
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Kim Thanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Lan Anh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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