MCH
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MCH
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
MCH exhibits a moderate risk profile with a Beneish M-Score of -1.1473, indicating no immediate signs of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 51.5/100, particularly low cash conversion metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Earnings quality score of 51.5/100 indicates potential issues with earnings sustainability, especially with cash conversion at only 25.2/100.
- High DSRI of 1.7811 suggests potential inventory accumulation, which may indicate overstatement of revenue.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.1473 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Strong receivables quality score of 88.1/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with MasanConsumerHoldings and Masan Group holding a combined 126.5% of shares, indicating potential governance risks and lack of minority shareholder influence.
Investors should monitor cash conversion metrics closely and consider diversifying their holdings due to concentrated ownership risks. Conducting further due diligence on inventory management practices is advisable.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for MCH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate