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Consumer sector

VSN

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Việt Nam Kỹ Nghệ Súc Sản
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
17.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
26.250
Current
17.000
Gap
+54.4%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
61.49%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.23%
x
D/(D+E)
38.51%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.19%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF107.60B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
107.60B
Growth Rate
4.19%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
26.250
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VSN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

51
Fair
Accrual Quality
51
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
71
Margin Stability
96
Revenue Quality
62

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2014

-3.13
Low Risk
DSRI
0.933
GMI
1.072
AQI
0.527
SGI
1.054
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.937
TATA
-0.077
LVGI
1.045

The Beneish M-Score of -3.1261 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, well below the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the strong earnings quality score of 89.0/100, particularly in cash conversion and receivables, suggests robust financial health.

Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 89.0/100 indicates strong overall earnings quality.
  • Cash conversion and receivables metrics are at 100.0/100, reflecting excellent liquidity and collection efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top three institutional shareholders holding 67.8% and 24.9% stakes, which may limit minority shareholder influence but also suggests stability in governance.

Recommendation

Continue monitoring the stock for any changes in earnings quality metrics or ownership dynamics, but current indicators suggest a stable investment opportunity.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.85
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.09
Negative
Composite
46
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-10.0%
Volatility
51.5%
Max Drawdown
-32.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
15.57P/E
P/B1.00
P/S0.44
ROE6.4%
ROA4.2%
EPS1014.95
BVPS15783.28
Gross Margin22.8%
Net Margin2.8%
D/E0.45
Current Ratio2.58
Rev Growth-6.5%
Profit Growth-26.1%
EV/EBITDA9.92
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
80.9M
Charter Capital
809.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VSN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Thương Mại Sài Gòn
Inst
67.8%
54.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Masan MEATLife
Inst
24.9%
20.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Masan
Inst
24.9%
0
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Manulife
Inst
0.1%
109.200
Board & Management
Nguyễn Ngọc An
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Hải Hưng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Văn Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Thị Thu Thủy
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Đăng Phú
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Trung Lâm
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Vĩnh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Phúc Khoa
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Tô Quốc Thái
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trương Việt Tiến
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Thanh Tâm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Minh Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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