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Construction sector

MDG

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Miền Đông
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
41.950
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
15.211
Current
41.950
Gap
-63.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
39.95%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.58%
x
D/(D+E)
60.05%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
11.040
50%DCF Value
19.382
Blended Intrinsic
15.211
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MDG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

33
Weak
Accrual Quality
53
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.92
Moderate
DSRI
0.716
GMI
0.672
AQI
1.696
SGI
1.052
DEPI
0.859
SGAI
0.684
TATA
0.127
LVGI
0.880

MDG's Beneish M-Score of -1.9167 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 33.2/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, further raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9167 suggests potential earnings manipulation risk as it is below the critical threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 33.2/100 indicates poor earnings quality, with cash conversion at 0.0/100 and revenue metrics also at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.7163 indicates that accounts receivable are growing slower than revenue, which could suggest better cash management.
  • High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates that receivables are likely collectible, which is a positive sign for liquidity.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated with three institutions holding a combined 67.2%, which may lead to governance risks and reduced minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on MDG, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and management's explanations of revenue recognition practices.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.06
Grey Zone
Sharpe
1.80
Excellent
Composite
43
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+119.5%
Volatility
54.2%
Max Drawdown
-25.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.82P/E
P/B2.49
P/S1.81
ROE29.0%
ROA12.7%
EPS4064.53
BVPS16024.57
Gross Margin34.6%
Net Margin18.4%
D/E1.12
Current Ratio1.01
Rev Growth5.3%
Profit Growth1013.0%
EV/EBITDA8.48
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.9M
Charter Capital
108.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MDG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Xây dựng 3-2
Inst
32.0%
3.5 trieu
Htx Phúc Tài
Inst
21.4%
2.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Xây Dựng Phước Tiến
Inst
13.8%
1.5 trieu
Lê Ngọc Đệ
Indiv
4.8%
500.000
Võ Văn Lãnh
Indiv
4.7%
515.260
Võ Đức Lợi
Indiv
4.1%
450.400
Nguyễn Văn Khóa
Indiv
2.7%
280.869
Nguyễn Lương Quân
Indiv
2.3%
240.007
Trần Mạnh Tần
Indiv
1.1%
112.166
Võ Hồng Trung
Indiv
0.9%
88.000
Lê Quang Trung
Indiv
0.5%
54.007
Lê Văn Tuấn
Indiv
0.3%
28.467
Nguyễn Đức Luận
Indiv
0.2%
24.577
Dương Văn Vinh
Indiv
0.2%
21.270
Huỳnh Anh Dũng
Indiv
0.1%
15.469
Board & Management
Võ Văn Lãnh4.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Minh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Quyết
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Phạm Văn Danh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đỗ Việt Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Vân
Kế toán trưởng
LÊ ĐỨC DŨNG
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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