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Consumer sector

MKV

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dược Thú Y Cai Lậy
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
22.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
37.345
Current
22.800
Gap
+63.8%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
81.18%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.39%
x
D/(D+E)
18.82%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.02%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF10.57B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
10.57B
Growth Rate
4.02%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
37.345
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MKV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

60
Fair
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
57
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
34
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.22
Moderate
DSRI
0.678
GMI
0.967
AQI
0.613
SGI
1.391
DEPI
0.919
SGAI
0.823
TATA
0.043
LVGI
0.510

The Beneish M-Score of -2.2195 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly in revenue recognition and margin quality, which could signal underlying operational issues.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 59.9/100 indicates moderate risk, particularly with an eq_revenue score of 0.0/100, suggesting potential revenue recognition issues.
  • SGI of 1.3908 indicates aggressive growth, which may not be sustainable and could lead to future earnings pressure.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.6779 suggests that the company is managing its receivables well relative to sales, which is a positive indicator of operational efficiency.
  • High eq_receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of accounts receivable, reflecting strong collection practices.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Mavin holding 57.2%, raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder protections.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's revenue recognition practices and operational performance, particularly in light of the elevated SGI. Consider a cautious approach until clearer signs of sustainable growth and improved earnings quality are evident.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
7.06
Safe Zone
Sharpe
1.52
Excellent
Composite
73
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+61.1%
Volatility
65.8%
Max Drawdown
-16.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.10P/E
P/B1.15
P/S0.81
ROE17.7%
ROA15.0%
EPS3380.16
BVPS20809.22
Gross Margin34.7%
Net Margin11.4%
D/E0.12
Current Ratio7.25
Rev Growth38.6%
Profit Growth130.8%
EV/EBITDA4.09
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.0M
Charter Capital
50.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MKV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Mavin
Inst
57.2%
2.9 trieu
Đào Mạnh Lương
Indiv
19.5%
974.342
Nguyễn Thị Minh Ngọc
Indiv
13.0%
350.000
Hồ Phi Hải
Indiv
2.8%
75.000
Peter Eric Dennis
Indiv
2.7%
71.300
Lâm Minh Tuyền
Indiv
2.0%
53.000
Trần Văn Sê
Indiv
1.1%
29.000
Trần Hoàng Sơn
Indiv
0.8%
21.054
Đặng Minh Tiến
Indiv
0.6%
15.000
Board & Management
Đào Mạnh Lương19.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Hoàng Sơn0.8%
Kế toán trưởng
Ngô Phú Thỏa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Thị Lệ Trinh
Kế toán trưởng
Phan Nguyễn Thanh Huyền
Phó Giám đốc Điều hành
Thân Văn Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đào Mạnh Hòa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thành Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Kiều Chinh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thị Hồng Nhung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Văn Tài
Giám đốc điều hành
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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