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Utilities sector

TTA

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Xây dựng và Phát triển Trường Thành
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
12.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.307
Current
12.400
Gap
+15.4%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend6.40%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:EPS default
DPS649
Payout ratio50.0%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
649
Base Growth
6.40%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
14.307
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TTA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
82
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
17
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.08
Moderate
DSRI
1.265
GMI
1.029
AQI
1.298
SGI
0.992
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
1.049
TATA
-0.001
LVGI
0.882

TTA exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -2.0829, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 39.8/100 highlights significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin quality.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0829 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality metrics show 0.0/100 for eq_receivables and eq_revenue, suggesting aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 1.2650 indicates a lower risk of inventory manipulation compared to industry norms.
  • High eq_accrual score of 99.5/100 suggests strong accrual quality.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top shareholder holding 23.6%, raises governance concerns, as decision-making may be heavily influenced by a few individuals. This can lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor TTA's financial disclosures for signs of manipulation. It is advisable to wait for improved earnings quality metrics before considering any investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.19
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.55
Negative
Composite
35
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-12.4%
Volatility
17.6%
Max Drawdown
-28.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.56P/E
P/B0.94
P/S3.04
ROE10.2%
ROA5.5%
EPS1297.18
BVPS13247.03
Gross Margin56.1%
Net Margin31.8%
D/E0.75
Current Ratio0.84
Rev Growth-0.8%
Profit Growth0.0%
EV/EBITDA6.40
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
178.6M
Charter Capital
1785.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TTA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Xây Dựng Trường Thành
Inst
23.6%
42.2 trieu
Trần Huy Đức
Indiv
23.3%
41.5 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Minh Ngọc
Indiv
11.6%
20.8 trieu
Đinh Quang Chiến
Indiv
8.0%
14.3 trieu
Trần Huy Thiệu
Indiv
4.3%
7.7 trieu
nguyen-thanh-ha
Indiv
1.5%
2.7 trieu
nguyen-duy-hung
Indiv
1.5%
2.7 trieu
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
1.5%
2.0 trieu
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc11.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Huy Thiệu4.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Hà1.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Duy Hưng1.5%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Trường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Thành Hồng Thắm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Duy Viễn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Dũng Hoàng
Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Xuân Hiểu
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Huyền Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hà Huyền Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Kiều Thị Mỹ Hạnh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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