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Consumer sector

MRF

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần MERUFA
Y tế/Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tếCT
21.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
53.101
Current
21.000
Gap
+152.9%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
75.11%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.22%
x
D/(D+E)
24.89%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF20.51B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
20.51B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
53.101
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MRF

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

36
Weak
Accrual Quality
11
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
24

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-0.77
High Risk
DSRI
1.175
GMI
1.262
AQI
1.469
SGI
1.830
DEPI
1.050
SGAI
0.658
TATA
0.129
LVGI
1.566

The Beneish M-Score of -0.7694 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 39.7/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 39.7/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100 indicating poor cash flow relative to earnings.
  • SGI of 1.8303 suggests aggressive revenue growth that may not be sustainable.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.7694 indicates a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership (16.2%) may lead to potential influence on financial reporting and operational decisions, which could obscure true performance. Additionally, the concentration of ownership among a few institutions and individuals presents a risk of conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and revenue sustainability, considering the elevated SGI. A deeper analysis of operational efficiency and potential state influence is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.29
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.07
Positive
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+140.2%
Volatility
207.6%
Max Drawdown
-72.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-23.87P/E
P/B2.29
P/S1.22
ROE-8.9%
ROA-7.0%
EPS-1047.45
BVPS10908.18
Gross Margin7.0%
Net Margin-5.1%
D/E0.17
Current Ratio4.33
Rev Growth0.2%
Profit Growth-231.6%
EV/EBITDA831.23
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.8M
Charter Capital
68.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tế
Sub-industry
Thiết bị y tế
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MRF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Thiết Bị Y Tế Việt Nam - Ctcp
State
16.2%
1.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Và Thương Mại Thiên Hải
Inst
15.0%
1.0 trieu
Trần Nguyễn Thanh Mai
Indiv
10.6%
722.425
Lâm Quốc Trung
Indiv
6.6%
242.130
Công ty TNHH Sản xuất - Thương mại Thiết bị Y Tế Minh Tâm
Inst
6.0%
220.000
Công Ty CP Dịch Vụ Văn Hóa Việt
Inst
5.1%
186.200
Phạm Xuân Mai
Indiv
5.0%
184.336
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Quân đội
Inst
4.7%
171.650
Vũ Văn Minh
Indiv
4.0%
274.725
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Vi Na
Inst
3.0%
205.321
Vũ Trần Minh Dũng
Indiv
3.0%
203.500
Vũ Trần Kim Phượng
Indiv
3.0%
203.500
Phạm Kim Hải
Indiv
2.7%
100.000
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Vina
Inst
2.4%
163.355
Bùi Minh Tuấn
Indiv
0.6%
22.685
Trần Thị Thanh Thủy
Indiv
0.5%
17.900
Lưu Tiến Cảo
Indiv
0.3%
20.604
Trương Thị Thanh Thủy
Indiv
0.3%
19.648
Hồ Thị Quế
Indiv
0.2%
6.340
Hoàng Hữu Phước
Indiv
0.1%
10.175
Đinh Thị Hồng Sâm
Indiv
0.1%
3.520
Board & Management
Vũ Văn Minh4.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lưu Tiến Cảo0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Thị Thanh Thủy0.3%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Thị Quế0.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Hữu Phước0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Thanh Nỡ
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Bùi Minh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Vĩnh San San
Kế toán trưởng
Hoàng Minh Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Chinh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Cúc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
K Huệ
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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