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VPR

Công ty Cổ phần VINAPRINT

VietnamConsumerTruyền thôngUPCOMCT
6.800
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.8%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
6.800
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
7.940

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Truyền thông→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Truyền thông” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.910
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.10%
Ke
11.10%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
11.10%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→13.03B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→6.800
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
7.940
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)11.10%
Growth rate4.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow13.0 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth1.0%2.5%4.0%5.5%7.0%
9.1%8.3508.3508.4868.4868.486
10.1%8.3508.3508.3508.3508.350
11.1%7.9407.9407.9408.0518.350
12.1%7.9407.9407.9407.9407.940
13.1%7.9407.9407.9407.9407.940
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1610533424726425840551913
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·12716123641716112
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·0.10.051570.4555103694
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·4321142421118229854
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.40.5320.92290.30.30.20.3
Net Inventories
·0.010.030.010.010.3191251033
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0.010.030.010.070.4291251043
Other current assets
·0.40.60.70.80.61520.20.10.80.3
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·127124801001021021115029282224
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·3331110.9000.20.20.2
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·3331110.9000.20.20.2
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·30.40.6561667922
Tangible fixed assets
·30.40.6561667922
Investment in properties
·677274909498951515161819
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·47420000000000
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·51440000000000
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−4−30000000000
Other non-current assets
·720.530.50.910.70.510.31
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·720.20.40.50.910.60.410.20.4
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·14313313313434912815310869834137
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·14111743264599049122786
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·98132020214330122565
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00087916142200
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.0100.010.010.010.0110.030.010.040.020.3
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·534232433847190.2221
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·000182413341190000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·129122116918569635957553330
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·129122116918569635957553330
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·505050464646424232323232
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·787166453923211725231.0−2
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·14313313313434912815310869834137
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·000000011000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·505050464646424232323232

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
68
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
50

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.18 · 57th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +1.98
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.321
GMI
1.087
AQI
0.937
SGI
1.094
DEPI
1.685
SGAI
1.040
TATA
−0.031
LVGI
1.090

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
0.8741st pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
2.2%50th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.12
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.12
Negative
Composite
70
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.73×Interest Burden0.97×Op. Margin0.30×Turnover0.31×Leverage1.11=ROE7.5%
Price Risk
Momentum
−4.0%
Volatility
41.9%
Max Drawdown
−31.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.22P/E
P/B
0.54
P/S
1.56
ROE
7.7%
ROA
7.0%
EPS
955
BVPS
12.809
Gross Margin
41.8%
Net Margin
21.6%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
1.70
EV/EBITDA
3.36
Div Yield
3.6%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
10.1M
Charter Capital
101B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Truyền thông
Industry (ICB L3)
Truyền thông
Sub-industry
Sách, ấn bản & sản phẩm văn hóa
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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