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Utilities sector

KHW

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước Khánh Hòa
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
31.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
29.131
Current
31.000
Gap
-6.0%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend8.25%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.238
Payout ratio44.7%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.238
Base Growth
8.25%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
29.131
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — KHW

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

78
Good
Accrual Quality
65
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
65
Revenue Quality
59

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.71
Low Risk
DSRI
1.044
GMI
1.026
AQI
1.235
SGI
1.047
DEPI
0.882
SGAI
1.077
TATA
-0.089
LVGI
0.924

KHW exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.7071, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 77.7/100, while decent, reveals areas of concern, particularly in revenue recognition and margin quality.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7071 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting low risk of manipulation but warrants monitoring for future changes.
  • Earnings quality metrics show low scores in eq_margin (64.6/100) and eq_revenue (59.2/100), indicating potential issues in profitability and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • High cash conversion rate (eq_cash_conv: 100.0/100) suggests strong liquidity and operational efficiency.
  • Significant institutional ownership (43.9% by Công ty TNHH Nước Sạch Ree) indicates confidence from professional investors.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by the state (51.0%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence on operational decisions, impacting minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Monitor KHW closely for any shifts in earnings quality metrics and consider diversifying exposure due to the high concentration of state ownership.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.03
Safe Zone
Sharpe
1.02
Excellent
Composite
74
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+84.5%
Volatility
42.0%
Max Drawdown
-22.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.43P/E
P/B1.97
P/S1.84
ROE21.6%
ROA14.3%
EPS3106.20
BVPS14844.75
Gross Margin24.3%
Net Margin19.5%
D/E0.49
Current Ratio1.96
Rev Growth4.7%
Profit Growth1.8%
EV/EBITDA5.15
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
28.6M
Charter Capital
286.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for KHW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Khánh Hòa
State
51.0%
14.6 trieu
Công ty TNHH Nước Sạch Ree
Inst
43.9%
12.6 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Cơ Hội PVI
Inst
0.9%
234.605
Trần Kim Linh
Indiv
0.1%
37.500
Board & Management
Vũ Văn Bình
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Đàm
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Đức Bình
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Quân
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Long
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Ninh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồng Sơn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Khắc Hoành
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Quách Vĩnh Bình
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hoàng Oanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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