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Construction sector

PDB

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Đầu tư DIN Capital
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
24.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
55.936
Current
24.300
Gap
+130.2%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
64.64%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.63%
x
D/(D+E)
35.36%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
16.566
50%DCF Value
95.306
Blended Intrinsic
55.936
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PDB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

64
Fair
Accrual Quality
74
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.96
Low Risk
DSRI
0.807
GMI
0.523
AQI
0.783
SGI
1.383
DEPI
0.820
SGAI
1.072
TATA
-0.065
LVGI
0.900

PDB exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -2.9576, which is significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the company demonstrates strong earnings quality metrics, particularly in cash conversion and receivables, suggesting some operational strengths.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.9576 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • SGI of 1.3825 suggests aggressive revenue growth that may not be supported by underlying cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 63.5/100 indicates reasonable overall earnings quality.
  • Cash conversion and receivables metrics are perfect at 100.0/100, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is relatively fragmented, with the largest shareholder holding only 21.7%, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest among shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor PDB's financial disclosures for signs of earnings manipulation and consider a cautious approach given the elevated risk level, while also recognizing the company's strong cash conversion capabilities.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.60
Safe Zone
Sharpe
2.12
Excellent
Composite
80
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+221.2%
Volatility
49.8%
Max Drawdown
-20.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.26P/E
P/B1.30
P/S0.52
ROE34.2%
ROA22.8%
EPS5840.52
BVPS19176.85
Gross Margin18.9%
Net Margin12.2%
D/E0.47
Current Ratio2.78
Rev Growth38.3%
Profit Growth450.9%
EV/EBITDA2.79
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.9M
Charter Capital
89.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PDB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ctcp Dinco
Inst
21.7%
1.9 trieu
Lê Trường Kỹ
Indiv
14.3%
1.3 trieu
Huỳnh Phước Huyền Vy
Indiv
7.3%
649.736
Peter Eric Dennis
Indiv
4.9%
434.500
Nguyễn Thị Minh Phượng
Indiv
3.8%
336.470
Đinh Ngọc Đạm
Indiv
1.9%
166.650
Đặng Tiến Đức
Indiv
0.7%
60.651
Huỳnh Phước Huyền Vân
Indiv
0.4%
40.000
Nguyễn Thị Kim Liên
Indiv
0.4%
33.300
Nguyễn Văn Triều
Indiv
0.3%
25.666
Lê Anh Long
Indiv
0.3%
23.500
Nguyễn Thị Thảo
Indiv
0.2%
21.800
Board & Management
Lê Trường Kỹ14.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Phước Huyền Vy7.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Minh Phượng3.8%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Ngọc Đạm1.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Đặng Tiến Đức0.7%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Kim Liên0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Văn Triều0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Anh Long0.3%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thảo0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Chu Văn Tuấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Cảnh Thành
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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