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Construction sector

TRT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần RedstarCera
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
3.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
58.374
Current
3.600
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
27.12%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.34%
x
D/(D+E)
72.88%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
16.927
50%DCF Value
99.820
Blended Intrinsic
58.374
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TRT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

53
Fair
Accrual Quality
31
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-3.50
Low Risk
DSRI
0.843
GMI
0.635
AQI
1.123
SGI
1.249
DEPI
0.849
SGAI
0.804
TATA
-0.210
LVGI
0.949

TRT exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -3.4951, significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Despite some positive cash conversion metrics, the overall earnings quality score of 52.7 suggests underlying weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin sustainability.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.4951 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 52.7, with eq_margin and eq_revenue both at 0.0/100, raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion metrics with eq_cash_conv at 100.0/100 and eq_receivables at 100.0/100 indicate effective cash management.
  • Low DSRI of 0.8430 suggests that inventory levels are well-managed relative to sales.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top three shareholders controlling over 74% of the company, raises potential governance risks and may limit minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor TRT's earnings reports and cash flow statements for signs of manipulation. Consider a cautious approach to investment until clearer transparency and improved earnings quality metrics are demonstrated.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.60
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.87
Negative
Composite
78
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+60.7%
Volatility
186.7%
Max Drawdown
-86.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
8.44P/E
P/B0.30
P/S0.06
ROE3.7%
ROA0.9%
EPS426.55
BVPS11820.83
Gross Margin9.4%
Net Margin0.7%
D/E2.69
Current Ratio0.79
Rev Growth24.9%
Profit Growth113.9%
EV/EBITDA2.82
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
11.0M
Charter Capital
110.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TRT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Sản Xuất Và Thương Mại Minh Ngọc
Inst
34.0%
3.7 trieu
Tổng Công ty Thép Việt Nam
Inst
20.1%
2.2 trieu
Đặng Việt Dũng
Indiv
16.8%
1.8 trieu
Đặng Việt Phương Anh
Indiv
13.5%
1.5 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Thảo
Indiv
9.3%
513.671
Đặng Văn Việt
Indiv
5.4%
589.546
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hải
Indiv
4.8%
530.000
Đặng Văn Đạt
Indiv
2.7%
299.255
Nguyễn Văn Khải
Indiv
0.3%
16.855
Dương Thị Quyên
Indiv
0.2%
18.219
Board & Management
Đặng Văn Việt5.4%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Thị Quyên0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Đồng Tuấn Vũ
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Tô Hiệu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Giáp
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hiền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Minh Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Nhàn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đức Vinh Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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