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Technology sector

PMJ

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần Vật tư Bưu điện
Công nghệ Thông tin/Thiết bị và Phần cứngCT
15.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
15.158
Current
15.600
Gap
-2.8%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTCông nghệ Thông tinTechnology
Classified as technology because ICB sector "Công nghệ Thông tin" maps to the technology group
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
36.66%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.74%
x
D/(D+E)
63.34%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E16x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
13.229
40%P/E Value
18.051
Blended Intrinsic
15.158
Value Decomposition
39%
61%
Explicit period (39%)Terminal value (61%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PMJ

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
65
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
53

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-1.97
Moderate
DSRI
1.272
GMI
1.072
AQI
0.814
SGI
1.253
DEPI
1.082
SGAI
0.880
TATA
0.032
LVGI
1.332

The Beneish M-Score of -1.97 suggests potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality metrics indicate significant concerns, particularly with cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.97 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 55.4/100 is concerning, particularly with an eq_cash_conv of only 16.3/100, indicating poor cash conversion relative to reported earnings.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 signifies a complete lack of reliability in revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.2719 suggests a reasonable level of inventory relative to sales, which may indicate proper inventory management.
  • Top institutional shareholder (Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam) holds 51.0%, providing potential stability and oversight.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with 51.0% held by a state-owned enterprise, poses risks of governance issues and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in a market with significant SOE influence.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and revenue recognition practices before considering any investment in PMJ.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.01
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.17
Positive
Composite
54
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
49.4%
Max Drawdown
-21.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
16.00P/E
P/B0.80
P/S0.18
ROE5.8%
ROA1.9%
EPS1271.04
BVPS22414.61
Gross Margin12.3%
Net Margin1.3%
D/E2.25
Current Ratio1.37
Rev Growth21.8%
Profit Growth161.0%
EV/EBITDA4.85
Div Yield5.9%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1.8M
Charter Capital
18.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Phần cứng
Sub-industry
Thiết bị viễn thông
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PMJ — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
918.000
Đỗ Hoài Phong
Indiv
23.0%
413.100
Phan Thị Thanh Sâm
Indiv
10.0%
183.600
Hoàng Tùng Sơn
Indiv
2.1%
37.950
Trần Thị Kim Lan
Indiv
1.5%
27.250
Lý Trí Đức
Indiv
1.2%
21.650
Đoàn Minh Đôn
Indiv
0.7%
12.950
Nguyễn Kỳ Quan
Indiv
0.3%
5.800
Nguyễn Thị Mỹ Lệ
Indiv
0.3%
5.150
Trần Văn Tịnh
Indiv
0.3%
4.950
Đỗ Thanh Hải
Indiv
0.3%
4.700
Nguyễn Thị Phương Liễu
Indiv
0.2%
3.500
Board & Management
Đỗ Hoài Phong23.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Thị Thanh Sâm10.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Minh Đôn0.7%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Văn Tình0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đắc Thọ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thanh Hương
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hiền
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Tấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thúy Ngân
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Xuân Hòa
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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