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Construction sector

PTO

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ - Xây dựng Công trình Bưu điện
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
19.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.933
Current
19.100
Gap
-21.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
57.01%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.39%
x
D/(D+E)
42.99%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
17.659
50%DCF Value
12.208
Blended Intrinsic
14.933
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PTO

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

37
Weak
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.76
Elevated
DSRI
1.056
GMI
1.070
AQI
0.817
SGI
1.450
DEPI
0.748
SGAI
0.747
TATA
0.085
LVGI
1.320

PTO exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.7557, which is close to the manipulation threshold. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 36.5/100, particularly low cash conversion metrics, suggests significant risks in revenue recognition and cash flow management.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.7557, indicating potential earnings manipulation as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 36.5/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, highlighting severe issues in converting earnings to cash.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100, indicating strong management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam, holds a significant 30% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest or influence over financial reporting practices.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor PTO's financial disclosures for signs of earnings manipulation and consider a cautious approach, potentially waiting for improved earnings quality metrics before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.10
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.57
Positive
Composite
38
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+10.1%
Volatility
58.7%
Max Drawdown
-41.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
21.70P/E
P/B1.23
P/S0.55
ROE8.4%
ROA5.1%
EPS1250.43
BVPS15496.35
Gross Margin18.9%
Net Margin3.6%
D/E0.76
Current Ratio2.47
Rev Growth45.0%
Profit Growth1533.2%
EV/EBITDA9.55
Div Yield2.6%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1.2M
Charter Capital
12.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PTO — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam
Inst
30.0%
360.000
Vũ Quang Thắng
Indiv
8.1%
96.800
Nguyễn Giang Đô
Indiv
3.3%
40.020
Thân Quốc Tường
Indiv
3.1%
36.750
Nguyễn Thị Chính
Indiv
0.8%
9.840
Võ Thành Nại
Indiv
0.2%
2.650
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Nga
Indiv
0.2%
2.400
Board & Management
Thân Quốc Tường3.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Chinh0.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Nga0.2%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phan Thị Kim Thy
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Xuân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Thu Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quang Nghĩa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Xuân Dung
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quang Minh Mẫn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Phương Thảo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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