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Công ty Cổ phần Viễn thông - Tin học Bưu điện

VietnamTechnologyCông nghệ Thông tinPhần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tínhHOSECT
17.100
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+20.9%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
17.100
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
20.681

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

Also note

  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Công nghệ Thông tin→Technology
Classified as technology because ICB sector “Công nghệ Thông tin” maps to the technology group.
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Technical details
Why this model

Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.

How it works

DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.

Best for

Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.80%
Ke
12.80%
x
E/(D+E)
69.97%
+
Kd(1-t)
3.77%
x
D/(D+E)
30.03%
=
WACC
10.09%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E→8x
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→17.100
Calibrated value vs last close→+20.9%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
20.681
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.09%
Growth rate5.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flowone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%8.0%
8.1%20.68120.68120.68120.68120.681
9.1%20.68120.68120.68120.68120.681
10.1%20.68120.68120.68120.68120.681
11.1%20.68120.68120.68120.68120.681
12.1%20.68120.68120.68120.68120.681
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,4541,2451,2081,2231,9021,9572,0241,8462,4041,4201,1341,071815
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·5254309720345829534920680854388111248
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·0000202020000200
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·8577361,0328249861,0881,3791,1241,268469707307455
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·141232212013147171918200.70.4
Net Inventories
·377161177419522274515326405320618104
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·447362178420522276516327407323622107
Other current assets
·35718191833211317358
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000000.62
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·217231233231202203173166164145142153163
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·22110.60.40.30.30.020.010.0100
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·22110.60.40.30.30.020.010.0100
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·134128138127144139114120127126122131140
Tangible fixed assets
·54475643635740465352485662
Intagible fixed assets
·79818385818274747474747475
Investment in properties
·991010000000000
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·66666565414140413113151515
Investments in associate companies
·000000022200202424
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·66666666414141181515151111
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−0.20−2−20−0.4−1.0−0.07−5−2−20−20−20
Other non-current assets
·717815662343478
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·717815662343478
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,6711,4751,4411,4542,1032,1612,1972,0122,5681,5651,2761,224979
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1,0198197987911,3921,4631,5101,3741,9741,114877846618
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1,0128147957901,3911,4551,5021,3601,9681,113876842610
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·2982532763465506918307071,1954162016133
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·1003021137593538764102340.2
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·75312781561.0248
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0000000000008
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·652656643662711698687638593451399379360
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·652656643662711698687638593451399379360
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·322322322322322322322322322157157157157
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·979797979797979797162162153138
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·231235222241290277265217172119674644
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·1,6711,4751,4411,4542,1032,1612,1972,0122,5681,5651,2761,224979
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·00000000450000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·322322322322322322322322322157157157157

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
81
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
44
Revenue Quality
30

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.28 · 51st pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +1.59
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.866
GMI
1.448
AQI
0.718
SGI
1.344
DEPI
1.072
SGAI
0.832
TATA
−0.024
LVGI
1.098

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
5.8492nd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.9%35th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.13
Grey Zone
Sharpe
−0.14
Negative
Composite
66
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.79×Interest Burden−8.05×Op. Margin0.00×Turnover1.26×Leverage2.56=ROE4.9%
Price Risk
Momentum
+1.1%
Volatility
10.0%
Max Drawdown
−32.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
17.21P/E
P/B
0.84
P/S
0.26
ROE
4.9%
ROA
2.0%
EPS
988
BVPS
20.256
Gross Margin
5.6%
Net Margin
1.5%
D/E
0.46
Current Ratio
1.44
Rev Growth
+34.4%
Profit Growth
+2.1%
EV/EBITDA
21.92
Div Yield
5.9%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
32.2M
Charter Capital
322B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
Sub-industry
Phần mềm
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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