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Technology sector

ICT

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần Viễn thông - Tin học Bưu điện
Công nghệ Thông tin/Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tínhCT
17.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
39.354
Current
17.800
Gap
+121.1%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTCông nghệ Thông tinTechnology
Classified as technology because ICB sector "Công nghệ Thông tin" maps to the technology group
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
44.48%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.30%
x
D/(D+E)
55.52%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E16x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
55.071
40%P/E Value
15.780
Blended Intrinsic
39.354
Value Decomposition
39%
61%
Explicit period (39%)Terminal value (61%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ICT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

78
Good
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
44
Revenue Quality
30

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.31
Moderate
DSRI
0.870
GMI
1.442
AQI
0.716
SGI
1.344
DEPI
1.072
SGAI
0.831
TATA
-0.029
LVGI
1.100

The Beneish M-Score of -2.3065 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition and margin quality, which could pose risks in the Vietnamese market context.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality margin score at 44.3/100 indicates potential issues with profitability sustainability.
  • Revenue quality score at 29.6/100 suggests aggressive revenue recognition practices that may not reflect actual cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3065 suggests a lower risk of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 78.2/100 indicates generally strong accruals and cash conversion metrics.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam, holds a significant 31.4% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest or influence over corporate governance decisions.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and margin trends, while considering a diversified investment strategy to mitigate potential risks associated with earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.10
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.74
Positive
Composite
84
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+49.1%
Volatility
53.9%
Max Drawdown
-31.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
18.15P/E
P/B0.88
P/S0.27
ROE4.9%
ROA2.0%
EPS986.25
BVPS20254.15
Gross Margin5.7%
Net Margin1.5%
D/E1.57
Current Ratio1.43
Rev Growth34.4%
Profit Growth2.1%
EV/EBITDA22.88
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
32.2M
Charter Capital
321.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
Sub-industry
Phần mềm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for ICT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam
Inst
31.4%
10.1 trieu
Đặng Anh Dũng
Indiv
3.9%
1.3 trieu
Nguyễn Trí Dũng
Indiv
2.3%
724.930
Tô Hoài Văn
Indiv
1.7%
534.239
Hoàng Anh Lộc
Indiv
1.5%
487.304
nguyen-thanh-hieu
Indiv
1.4%
458.942
Lê Thanh Sơn
Indiv
1.4%
441.676
Nguyễn Thế Thịnh
Indiv
0.9%
306.232
Lâm Nhị Hà
Indiv
0.9%
306.420
Lê Lưu Ngân
Indiv
0.9%
285.000
Hoàng Kim Phượng
Indiv
0.7%
217.536
Phạm Văn Hạnh
Indiv
0.6%
185.300
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
0.4%
124.090
Hoàng Anh Thư
Indiv
0.4%
124.304
Hà Thanh Hải
Indiv
0.4%
119.174
Lê Thị Hà Bình
Indiv
0.3%
99.040
Nguyễn Thị Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
74.926
Nguyễn Thị Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
74.926
Phạm Văn Phùng
Indiv
0.2%
57.806
Tô Linh Lan
Indiv
0.1%
43.552
Tô Hạnh Trinh
Indiv
0.1%
43.160
Lê Ánh Dương
Indiv
0.1%
43.302
nguyen-anh-tuan
Indiv
0.1%
36.720
Board & Management
Nguyễn Trí Dũng2.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Tô Hoài Văn1.7%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Anh Lộc1.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thành Hiếu1.4%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lâm Nhị Hà0.9%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thế Thịnh0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn0.4%
Kế toán trưởng
Hà Thanh Hải0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thúy Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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