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Utilities sector

PTX

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải và Dịch vụ Petrolimex Nghệ Tĩnh
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
22.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
32.574
Current
22.000
Gap
+48.1%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend5.95%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.500
Payout ratio56.8%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.500
Base Growth
5.95%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
32.574
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PTX

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

51
Fair
Accrual Quality
59
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
25
Revenue Quality
70

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.04
Moderate
DSRI
2.407
GMI
0.906
AQI
0.705
SGI
0.920
DEPI
0.992
SGAI
1.071
TATA
-0.104
LVGI
1.338

PTX exhibits several concerning financial metrics indicating potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.0382, which is below the manipulation threshold. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 50.6 suggests weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin quality, raising red flags for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0382 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI of 2.4068 suggests significant increases in receivables relative to revenue, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
  • Earnings quality margin score of 24.8/100 indicates poor margin quality, raising concerns about sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
  • SGI of 0.9199 suggests that sales growth is in line with industry expectations, which can be a positive indicator.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tập đoàn Xăng dầu Việt Nam (51.0%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest, particularly in governance and financial reporting. The concentration of ownership can also limit minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on PTX, particularly focusing on revenue recognition practices and the implications of its ownership structure. Monitoring future earnings reports for consistency with cash flow will be crucial.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.83
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.34
Positive
Composite
62
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+28.3%
Volatility
117.6%
Max Drawdown
-35.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.46P/E
P/B1.55
P/S0.09
ROE18.3%
ROA7.9%
EPS2931.95
BVPS16042.99
Gross Margin9.4%
Net Margin1.1%
D/E1.73
Current Ratio0.54
Rev Growth-8.0%
Profit Growth-3.8%
EV/EBITDA4.31
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.4M
Charter Capital
64.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PTX — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Xăng dầu Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
3.3 trieu
Hoàng Công Thành
Indiv
3.2%
207.036
Hoàng Thái Khánh Kôn
Indiv
2.6%
152.550
Hoàng Văn Kiên
Indiv
2.6%
152.550
Đào Ngọc Tiến
Indiv
1.2%
71.808
Nguyễn Trí Dũng
Indiv
1.0%
38.761
Mạnh Xuân Hùng
Indiv
0.9%
58.293
Thái Văn Vinh
Indiv
0.8%
51.053
Trương Hồng Toàn
Indiv
0.8%
45.000
Cao Thị Bích Thảo
Indiv
0.6%
21.150
Trần Thanh Sơn
Indiv
0.6%
57.459
Trần Anh Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
11.248
Nguyễn Hồng Lâm
Indiv
0.1%
8.467
Board & Management
Hoàng Công Thành3.2%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Ngọc Tiến1.2%
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trí Dũng1.0%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Mạnh Xuân Hùng0.9%
Giám đốc/Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Hồng Toàn0.8%
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Anh Tuấn0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Văn Tuyến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Thái Văn Linh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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