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Real Estate sector

PVL

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Địa ốc Dầu khí
Bất động sảnCT
3.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
1.453
Current
3.200
Gap
-54.6%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Cash Flow
BVPS
2.906
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
2.906

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PVL

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

54
Fair
Accrual Quality
97
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

13.18
High Risk
DSRI
0.227
GMI
25.730
AQI
1.098
SGI
4.550
DEPI
0.159
SGAI
0.053
TATA
0.007
LVGI
0.995

PVL exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 13.1752, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 54.3/100, particularly low scores in revenue and margin quality, further raise concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 13.1752 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality metrics show 0.0/100 in both eq_margin and eq_revenue, suggesting severe issues in revenue recognition and profit generation.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI at 0.2273 suggests that accounts receivable are not growing disproportionately compared to revenue.
  • High eq_accrual score of 97.0/100 indicates strong accrual accounting practices.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is relatively fragmented, with the largest shareholder holding only 11.1%, which may lead to governance issues and lack of strategic direction. The presence of individual shareholders could also indicate potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in PVL, focusing on verifying the integrity of financial statements and assessing the company's operational performance.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
-0.46
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.07
Positive
Composite
35
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-3.4%
Volatility
95.4%
Max Drawdown
-60.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-110.49P/E
P/B1.37
P/S87.01
ROE-1.2%
ROA-0.9%
EPS-36.06
BVPS2905.65
Gross Margin1.2%
Net Margin-78.7%
D/E0.37
Current Ratio1.31
Rev Growth355.0%
Profit Growth89.5%
EV/EBITDA-63.68
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
50.0M
Charter Capital
500.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PVL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Trịnh Quốc Khánh
Indiv
11.1%
5.6 trieu
Bạch Đức Huyền
Indiv
5.2%
2.6 trieu
Công Ty TNHH Đầu Tư Và Phát Triển Công Nghệ Việt Nam
Inst
4.9%
2.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần SJ Group
Inst
3.2%
1.6 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Hải Liên
Indiv
2.6%
1.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thế Anh
Indiv
2.6%
1.3 trieu
Nguyễn Gia Trọng
Indiv
2.5%
1.3 trieu
Công ty cổ phần Đầu tư Xây dựng SaigonLand
Inst
2.5%
1.3 trieu
Trần Quang Hiển
Indiv
2.3%
1.1 trieu
Dương Thuỳ Anh
Indiv
1.6%
777.000
Lý Nam Ninh
Indiv
0.8%
227.000
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Phong Phú
Inst
0.3%
160.000
nguyen-viet-trung
Indiv
0.2%
97.500
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Đại chúng Việt Nam
Inst
0.1%
60.000
Bùi Quang Minh
Indiv
0.1%
51.200
Board & Management
Bùi Quang Minh0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRẦN QUỐC HUY
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Khánh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Kiều Thị Thùy
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Lê Đình Khánh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Văn Kỳ
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thu Giang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hương Nhung
Phó Phòng Tài chính Kế toán
Nguyễn Văn Hiến
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thành Hưng
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Yến
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Hưng Bường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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