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Construction sector

LM3

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Lilama 3
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
1.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
1.700
Gap
-100.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

24
Poor
Accrual Quality
95
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

11.02
High Risk
DSRI
2.248
GMI
12.092
AQI
19.170
SGI
0.308
DEPI
0.893
SGAI
2.490
TATA
0.014
LVGI
1.082

The Beneish M-Score of 11.0173 significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a high likelihood of earnings manipulation. Coupled with an Earnings Quality Score of only 23.6, this raises serious concerns about the reliability of reported financials.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 11.0173 indicates strong likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 23.6/100, with 0.0/100 in cash conversion, receivables, margin, and revenue metrics, suggests severe quality issues in earnings.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 2.2478 indicates that inventory growth is significantly higher than revenue growth, which could suggest potential future revenue recognition issues.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, with the largest shareholder holding 15.1%. This concentration can lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider divesting or avoiding LM3 due to high manipulation risk and poor earnings quality. Further due diligence is recommended to assess the sustainability of its financial practices.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
1/9
Weak
Z-Score
-2.77
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.91
Negative
Composite
20
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+2.9%
Volatility
79.6%
Max Drawdown
-54.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
100.67P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.43
ROE-0.1%
ROA0.1%
EPS22.85
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin1.2%
Net Margin0.4%
D/E-2.19
Current Ratio0.46
Rev Growth-69.2%
Profit Growth-77.5%
EV/EBITDA-33.30
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.2M
Charter Capital
51.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LM3 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Tiến Thành
Indiv
15.1%
777.901
Doãn Thanh Tuấn
Indiv
10.3%
527.900
Nguyễn Đức Thịnh
Indiv
9.7%
500.000
Nguyễn Hải Phong
Indiv
6.4%
330.300
Đinh Tiến Thành
Indiv
5.7%
293.374
Trần Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
5.2%
268.800
Phan Kim Lân
Indiv
2.0%
102.298
Phạm Công Hoan
Indiv
1.5%
77.648
Nguyễn Ngọc Quang
Indiv
1.2%
60.301
Đỗ Huy Vũ
Indiv
1.1%
55.408
Đỗ Văn Thược
Indiv
0.9%
48.442
Vũ Ngọc Tuấn
Indiv
0.5%
27.585
Trịnh Xuân Thanh
Indiv
0.3%
13.392
NGUYỄN TĂNG PHƯỢNG
Indiv
0.2%
9.500
Lê Xuân Á
Indiv
0.2%
8.981
Board & Management
Nguyễn Tiến Thành15.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Thịnh9.7%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Hải Phong6.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Tiến Thành5.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
NGUYỄN TĂNG PHƯỢNG0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
ĐỖ THỊ HIỀN
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lưu Văn Kính
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Tạ Như Điển
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quốc Khánh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Thuyết
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Mạnh Quảng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Xuân Rạng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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