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Consumer sector

SVT

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Công nghệ Sài Gòn Viễn Đông
Bán lẻCT
11.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
3.616
Current
11.400
Gap
-68.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTBán lẻConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Bán lẻ" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
99.44%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.84%
x
D/(D+E)
0.56%
=
WACC
10.09%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF3.63B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
3.63B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.09%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
3.616
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SVT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

33
Weak
Accrual Quality
52
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

34.30
High Risk
DSRI
46.829
GMI
0.063
AQI
0.854
SGI
0.038
DEPI
0.939
SGAI
26.821
TATA
0.101
LVGI
0.990

The Beneish M-Score of 34.3004, significantly above the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicates a strong likelihood of financial manipulation. Coupled with a low Earnings Quality Score of 17.6/100, particularly poor metrics in cash conversion and receivables, this stock presents substantial risks for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 34.3004 indicates likely manipulation, far exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 17.6/100, with eq_cash_conv at 10.5/100 and eq_receivables at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in cash flow and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Institutional ownership is relatively high, with the largest shareholder holding 33.3%, which may provide some level of oversight.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated, with the top shareholder holding 33.3%. This concentration can lead to governance risks, as decisions may favor the interests of a few over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise extreme caution and consider avoiding this stock until clearer financial transparency and improved earnings quality metrics are established.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
7.41
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.14
Positive
Composite
28
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+5.3%
Volatility
22.3%
Max Drawdown
-14.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.34P/E
P/B0.84
P/S13.77
ROE11.4%
ROA11.0%
EPS1553.18
BVPS13643.37
Gross Margin38.3%
Net Margin187.6%
D/E0.07
Current Ratio1.45
Rev Growth425.6%
Profit Growth-2.5%
EV/EBITDA76.26
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
17.3M
Charter Capital
173.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Bán lẻ
Sub-industry
Dịch vụ tiêu dùng chuyên ngành
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SVT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Thương mại Viễn Đông
Inst
33.3%
5.8 trieu
Công ty CP Giấy Toàn Lực
Inst
7.4%
1.3 trieu
Lê Thị Minh Giang
Indiv
5.4%
932.543
america limited liability company
Inst
5.0%
577.400
Phạm Thị Xuân Tươi
Indiv
4.6%
530.475
Huỳnh Thị Mai Hoa
Indiv
4.5%
521.040
Bùi Quang Minh
Indiv
4.5%
772.060
Bùi Quang Mẫn
Indiv
3.5%
597.848
Nguyễn Thị Thu
Indiv
2.2%
374.425
Bùi Nam Long
Indiv
0.8%
80.942
nguyen-thi-viet-anh
Indiv
0.7%
63.457
Bùi Quang Khoa
Indiv
0.6%
99.492
Mai Thị Trúc Giang
Indiv
0.4%
47.562
Trần Hoàng Nghĩa
Indiv
0.3%
46.845
Bùi Thị Ngọc Yến
Indiv
0.2%
25.851
Bùi Quang Toàn
Indiv
0.2%
27.819
Board & Management
Lê Thị Minh Giang5.4%
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Bùi Quang Minh4.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu2.2%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Quang Khoa0.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Thị Trúc Giang0.4%
Kế toán trưởng
Bùi Thị Ngọc Yến0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Bùi Quang Toàn0.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Thanh Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Phạm Thị Như Ngọc
Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Thị Thủy Tiên
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Tình
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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