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Construction sector

PXS

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Kết cấu Kim loại và Lắp máy Dầu khí
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
2.820
Current
2.900
Gap
-2.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.45%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
2.994
50%DCF Value
2.645
Blended Intrinsic
2.820
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PXS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
80
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.56
Elevated
DSRI
1.021
GMI
1.259
AQI
0.768
SGI
1.659
DEPI
0.917
SGAI
0.671
TATA
0.051
LVGI
1.065

PXS exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly highlighted by a Beneish M-Score of -1.5649, which is close to the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 39.9/100, driven by poor cash conversion and margin metrics, raises further concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.5649, indicating potential earnings manipulation as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 39.9/100, particularly low cash conversion score of 0.0/100, suggesting reliance on accruals rather than cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Top shareholder, Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp Dầu khí Việt Nam, holds a significant 51.0% stake, indicating strong institutional backing.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership among a few institutional investors may lead to governance risks, as decisions may favor the interests of major shareholders over minority ones.

Recommendation

Investors should approach PXS with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements for signs of improvement. Consider waiting for clearer indicators of operational stability before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.18
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.80
Negative
Composite
26
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-33.3%
Volatility
69.4%
Max Drawdown
-54.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
13.02P/E
P/B2.03
P/S0.20
ROE13.3%
ROA1.6%
EPS246.17
BVPS1580.48
Gross Margin5.8%
Net Margin1.6%
D/E9.38
Current Ratio0.59
Rev Growth65.9%
Profit Growth48.5%
EV/EBITDA4.18
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
60.0M
Charter Capital
600.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PXS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp Dầu khí Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
30.6 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Á Châu
Inst
18.1%
9.1 trieu
Mepcom Offshore And Marine Private Limited
Inst
10.0%
6.0 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng Việt Nam (VF2)
Inst
3.7%
1.9 trieu
Nguyễn Đức Đạt
Indiv
0.1%
62.800
Board & Management
Đinh Văn Tân
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Văn Hưng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Khắc Mẫn
Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Chu Tứ
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Thái Doãn Thuyết
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Trang
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Anh Đức
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Phạm Ngọc Tú
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Đức Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Lim Hau Guan
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lương Phi Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn
Phó Giám đốc
Lê Sanh Thành
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Quang Ngọc
Phó Giám đốc
Hoàng Văn Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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