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Utilities sector

DVC

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Thương mại dịch vụ Tổng Hợp Cảng Hải Phòng
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
12.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
13.200
Current
12.400
Gap
+6.5%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend2.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS700
Payout ratio74.5%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
700
Base Growth
2.00%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
13.200
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DVC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

37
Weak
Accrual Quality
69
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
17
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-3.90
Low Risk
DSRI
0.234
GMI
0.760
AQI
0.999
SGI
0.747
DEPI
0.896
SGAI
1.098
TATA
-0.077
LVGI
0.915

DVC exhibits several concerning financial indicators, particularly its Beneish M-Score of -3.8966, which suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 37.2/100 indicates significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and receivables management, raising potential red flags for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.8966 indicates low likelihood of manipulation, but the earnings quality score of 37.2/100 highlights significant weaknesses in revenue recognition.
  • Earnings quality metrics show an eq_receivables score of 16.7/100 and eq_margin of 0.0/100, indicating potential issues with revenue collection and profitability.
Positive Signals
  • The company has a low DSRI of 0.2342, suggesting that its inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
  • The eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash conversion from earnings, which is a positive sign for liquidity.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top three shareholders holding a combined 61.6%. This could pose risks related to governance and decision-making, potentially sidelining minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DVC's earnings quality and revenue recognition practices, given the elevated risk signals. Consider a cautious approach, potentially waiting for improved financial transparency before making significant investments.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.93
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.60
Positive
Composite
55
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+77.6%
Volatility
100.5%
Max Drawdown
-42.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
7.70P/E
P/B0.90
P/S1.37
ROE12.5%
ROA5.3%
EPS1789.22
BVPS14485.12
Gross Margin57.2%
Net Margin18.9%
D/E0.74
Current Ratio1.24
Rev Growth-25.3%
Profit Growth457.5%
EV/EBITDA4.80
Div Yield5.4%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.8M
Charter Capital
107.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DVC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Hà Thị Kim Phượng
Indiv
27.9%
3.0 trieu
Hà Thị Kim Cúc
Indiv
23.7%
2.6 trieu
Hà Văn Tiến
Indiv
10.0%
1.1 trieu
Cao Trung Ngoan
Indiv
7.5%
806.100
Đào Thị Tâm
Indiv
5.1%
551.000
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Á Châu
Inst
3.6%
321.650
Hà Văn Tâm
Indiv
0.9%
100.000
Nguyễn Đức Anh
Indiv
0.7%
71.463
Bùi Thị Hồng Hà
Indiv
0.6%
61.000
Nguyễn Cẩm Thủy
Indiv
0.6%
60.090
Nguyễn Thị Thủy
Indiv
0.5%
58.537
Phạm Bích Hạnh
Indiv
0.5%
24.000
Trần Thị Hồng
Indiv
0.5%
23.502
Phạm Thị Thanh Hồng
Indiv
0.5%
55.000
Nguyễn Thị Bảy
Indiv
0.5%
22.200
nguyen-ha-my
Indiv
0.5%
50.000
Nguyễn Hà Phương Anh
Indiv
0.5%
50.000
Hà Thị Tú
Indiv
0.4%
45.000
Nguyễn Thế Anh
Indiv
0.4%
44.000
Nguyễn Tiến Quân
Indiv
0.3%
35.750
Hà Thị Thịnh
Indiv
0.2%
25.000
Trần Thị Như Hoa
Indiv
0.2%
25.000
Hà Minh Tân
Indiv
0.2%
20.000
Đào Minh Châu
Indiv
0.1%
12.700
Nguyễn Minh Hường
Indiv
0.1%
12.700
Board & Management
Hà Thị Kim Phượng27.9%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hà Văn Tiến10.0%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Cao Trung Ngoan7.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Thị Tâm5.1%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Bùi Thị Hồng Hà0.6%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Cẩm Thủy0.6%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thủy0.5%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hà Thị Tú0.4%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Tiến Quân0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Đức Mạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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