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Construction sector

PSB

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Dầu khí Sao Mai Bến Đình
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
5.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.177
Current
5.600
Gap
-25.4%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
69.47%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.59%
x
D/(D+E)
30.53%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
50%DCF Value
4.177
Blended Intrinsic
4.177
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PSB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

70
Fair
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.75
Elevated
DSRI
1.159
GMI
0.737
AQI
0.791
SGI
1.811
DEPI
1.570
SGAI
0.554
TATA
-0.004
LVGI
1.115

The Beneish M-Score of -1.7491 is slightly above the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a potential risk of earnings manipulation. While the earnings quality score of 69.6 suggests reasonable quality, the concerning metrics in revenue and margin raise red flags about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.8114 indicates aggressive growth that may not be supported by actual revenue generation.
  • EQ margin and EQ revenue scores of 0.0/100 suggest significant issues with profitability and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • High accrual score of 98.2/100 and cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicate strong operational efficiency and cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders hold a significant portion of shares, with the largest institutional investor owning 51.0%. This concentrated ownership could lead to governance risks, particularly in decision-making and transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue growth and margin improvements while considering a cautious approach due to the elevated risk of earnings manipulation. Engaging with management for clarity on growth strategies and financial practices is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.38
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.50
Negative
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-16.1%
Volatility
36.8%
Max Drawdown
-47.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
173.17P/E
P/B0.50
P/S1.33
ROE0.3%
ROA0.2%
EPS32.14
BVPS11220.29
Gross Margin12.5%
Net Margin0.8%
D/E0.52
Current Ratio4.57
Rev Growth81.1%
Profit Growth110.5%
EV/EBITDA8.98
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
50.0M
Charter Capital
500.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PSB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Kỹ thuật Dầu khí Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
25.5 trieu
Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam
Inst
10.2%
5.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch Vụ Và Tư Vấn Tương Lai
Inst
6.6%
3.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Đầu Tư Và Phát Triển Chợ Lớn
Inst
5.0%
2.5 trieu
america limited liability company
Inst
4.9%
2.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần PVI
Inst
2.5%
1.3 trieu
Công ty TNHH Một Thành Viên Quản Lý Nợ Và Khai Thác Tài Sản - Ngân Hàng Thương Mại Trách Nhiệm Hữu Hạn Một Thành Viên Dầu Khí Toàn Cầu
Inst
1.6%
800.000
Công ty Cổ phần Thương Mại & Dịch Vụ Dầu Khí Việt Nam
Inst
0.3%
158.350
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp Dầu khí Việt Nam
Inst
0.3%
134.546
Phạm Thị Thu Hằng
Indiv
0.2%
119.630
Trần Đức Hạnh
Indiv
0.1%
58.007
Board & Management
Trần Đức Hạnh0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phùng Như Dũng
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Viết Đạt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Chí Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Đức Hồi
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Hải Bình
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Thanh Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Minh Vĩ
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Văn Tiến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Văn Lập
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Thị Ngọc Thanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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