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Consumer sector

SJ1

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Nông nghiệp Hùng Hậu
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
11.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.746
Current
11.500
Gap
-41.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
13.493
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
13.493

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SJ1

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

49
Weak
Accrual Quality
89
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
54
Margin Stability
50
Revenue Quality
57

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.78
Low Risk
DSRI
0.790
GMI
0.825
AQI
0.326
SGI
1.182
DEPI
1.457
SGAI
1.372
TATA
0.028
LVGI
1.072

SJ1 exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.7789, which is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 49.0 suggests some level of operational integrity, although the cash conversion metric is alarmingly low at 0.0.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7789 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0 suggests severe issues with cash flow relative to reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.7897 indicates that the company is managing its receivables well compared to sales, which may suggest lower risk of revenue inflation.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top shareholder holding 55.4%, which raises concerns about governance and potential conflicts of interest. This concentration may limit minority shareholders' influence and oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow management and the implications of concentrated ownership. Monitoring future earnings reports for signs of improved cash conversion and governance practices is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.54
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.44
Positive
Composite
50
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+52.7%
Volatility
81.9%
Max Drawdown
-31.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
13.97P/E
P/B0.85
P/S0.22
ROE6.1%
ROA2.0%
EPS823.18
BVPS13492.86
Gross Margin8.1%
Net Margin1.6%
D/E2.10
Current Ratio1.01
Rev Growth18.4%
Profit Growth3.7%
EV/EBITDA13.50
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
43.5M
Charter Capital
434.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Nuôi trồng nông & hải sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SJ1 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Hùng Hậu
Inst
55.4%
24.1 trieu
Trường Đại Học Văn Hiến
Indiv
8.7%
3.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Khởi Nghiệp Heritage
Inst
5.9%
2.6 trieu
Tổng Công ty Thủy sản Việt Nam
Inst
5.4%
2.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Châu
Indiv
3.6%
279.450
Đặng Đức Thành
Indiv
2.6%
201.220
HUỲNH TRÍ CƯỜNG
Indiv
2.5%
525.364
Nguyễn Thị Kim Mị
Indiv
2.4%
1.0 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Nhung
Indiv
1.9%
404.773
Ngô Đức Dũng
Indiv
1.5%
321.011
Công ty TNHH Di Sản Hoàn Hảo
Inst
1.4%
264.400
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Thúy
Indiv
1.3%
100.000
Công ty Cổ phần DRH Holdings
Inst
1.1%
85.320
Từ Thanh Phụng
Indiv
0.8%
354.716
Vũ Quang Chính
Indiv
0.7%
319.653
Huỳnh Thanh
Indiv
0.7%
294.124
Phạm Thị Minh Nguyệt
Indiv
0.6%
300.999
VÕ MINH KHANG
Indiv
0.6%
298.344
Trần Thanh Hương
Indiv
0.6%
295.434
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Tâm
Indiv
0.5%
101.236
trần văn hậu
Indiv
0.2%
116.856
Trần Thị Hà
Indiv
0.1%
11.000
nguyen-thanh-ha
Indiv
0.1%
7.770
Board & Management
Từ Thanh Phụng0.8%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Huỳnh Thanh0.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Minh Nguyệt0.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thanh Hương0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Dol
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Thị Bảo Yến
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Nguyễn Linh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Tống Văn Tùng
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Nga
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Tú Kỳ
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Tôn Thất Diên Khoa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Bích Như
Kế toán trưởng
Cao Trịnh Thúy Vy
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Computed 12/04/2026
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