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Real Estate sector

NRC

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn NRC
Bất động sảnCT
5.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
23.525
Current
5.900
Gap
+298.7%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
59.91%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.16%
x
D/(D+E)
40.09%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
14.087
60%DCF Value
29.817
Blended Intrinsic
23.525
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NRC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

58
Fair
Accrual Quality
52
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

23.90
High Risk
DSRI
0.079
GMI
7.042
AQI
0.691
SGI
28.602
DEPI
0.806
SGAI
0.021
TATA
-0.128
LVGI
1.021

The Beneish M-Score of 23.8974 significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a high likelihood of earnings manipulation. Coupled with a low earnings quality score of 58.1, particularly concerning metrics such as revenue and margin, this stock presents substantial risks for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 23.8974 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 58.1 reflects poor revenue and margin metrics (0.0/100).
  • SGI of 28.6021 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by actual performance.
Positive Signals
  • High cash conversion (eq_cash_conv of 100.0/100) indicates effective cash management.
  • Low DSRI of 0.0794 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented, with the largest shareholder holding only 15.9%, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in NRC, particularly focusing on the sustainability of reported earnings and the company's growth strategy.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.71
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.25
Positive
Composite
72
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+16.3%
Volatility
34.1%
Max Drawdown
-40.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
14.87P/E
P/B0.51
P/S3.58
ROE3.5%
ROA1.8%
EPS383.40
BVPS11269.87
Gross Margin12.5%
Net Margin24.1%
D/E0.69
Current Ratio1.35
Rev Growth2760.2%
Profit Growth125.9%
EV/EBITDA11.84
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
92.6M
Charter Capital
926.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NRC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Hà Thị Kim Thanh
Indiv
15.9%
14.8 trieu
nguyen-luong-khoa-toan
Indiv
8.2%
2.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Pixi
Inst
4.9%
4.5 trieu
Sanei Architecture Planning Co., Ltd
Inst
4.9%
4.3 trieu
Lê Tiến Dũng
Indiv
4.3%
3.9 trieu
ĐÀO THỊ BẠCH PHƯỢNG
Indiv
4.0%
3.7 trieu
Nguyễn Hà Kim Trang
Indiv
3.6%
427.000
Lê Thống Nhất
Indiv
2.9%
2.7 trieu
Nguyễn Ngọc Thủy
Indiv
1.8%
1.6 trieu
Dương Minh Tiến
Indiv
1.5%
180.000
Trần Khánh Quang
Indiv
0.8%
227.240
Nguyễn Quốc Bảo
Indiv
0.2%
145.900
nguyen-huy-cuong
Indiv
0.1%
104.040
Board & Management
Lê Thống Nhất2.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quốc Bảo0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Huy Cường0.1%
Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Vi Thoại
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Trâm
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Tổng Giám đốc Vận hành và Đào tạo
Vũ Ngọc Châu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Hữu Quang
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Bích
Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Thị Bảo Tuyên
Giám đốc Tài chính
Nguyễn Mạnh Tiến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Computed 12/04/2026
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