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Construction sector

VTA

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần VITALY
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.976
Current
2.100
Gap
+184.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
23.03%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
76.97%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
1.728
50%DCF Value
10.223
Blended Intrinsic
5.976
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VTA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

7
Poor
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
28
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2022

-2.67
Low Risk
DSRI
0.439
GMI
1.064
AQI
0.930
SGI
1.331
DEPI
0.921
SGAI
0.910
TATA
0.012
LVGI
1.122

VTA's Beneish M-Score of -2.6726 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 53.8/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 53.8/100, with cash conversion at only 40.0/100, indicating potential issues in translating earnings into cash flow.
  • Revenue metrics at 0.0/100 suggest that revenue recognition practices may be aggressive or unreliable.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.6726 suggests low likelihood of earnings manipulation, indicating a potentially more transparent financial reporting environment.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are all institutional entities, with the largest holding 30.8%, which may provide stability; however, the concentration of ownership could lead to governance risks if interests diverge from minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach, considering the elevated risks associated with earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
-1.66
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.80
Negative
Composite
30
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-38.5%
Volatility
81.9%
Max Drawdown
-52.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-0.53P/E
P/B3.24
P/S0.20
ROE-150.5%
ROA-23.7%
EPS-4301.93
BVPS706.83
Gross Margin-24.2%
Net Margin-37.4%
D/E19.50
Current Ratio0.57
Rev Growth-39.7%
Profit Growth-20.6%
EV/EBITDA-2.27
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.0M
Charter Capital
80.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VTA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Vật liệu Xây dựng số 1
Inst
30.8%
2.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư tài chính, thương mại dịch vụ Fico
Inst
27.0%
2.2 trieu
Công ty TNHH Mua bán nợ Việt Nam
Inst
25.0%
2.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Gạch men Thanh Thanh
Inst
21.4%
1.7 trieu
Nguyễn Sỹ Hùng
Indiv
6.9%
415.150
Nguyễn Quang Tài
Indiv
5.1%
305.335
Trần Thị Thanh Thủy
Indiv
4.0%
243.000
Nguyễn Thị Năm
Indiv
0.8%
50.400
nguyen-thi-hao
Indiv
0.4%
22.700
Lê Trung Sâm
Indiv
0.3%
15.000
Nguyễn Ngọc Dũng
Indiv
0.2%
12.000
Board & Management
Võ Văn Tùng
Tổng Giám đốc
Ngô Xuân Chính
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Việt Thắng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Thị Hằng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Huỳnh Đức Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Cao Trường Thụ
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Danh Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Quang Sơn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Thị Xuân Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Bích Thủy
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Quế
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Minh Tâm
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Việt Lợi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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