AGF
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — AGF
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
AGF exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -3.3606, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 29.0/100 suggests substantial concerns regarding the reliability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of -3.3606 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Earnings Quality Score of 29.0/100 reflects poor earnings reliability, particularly with an eq_margin of only 10.9/100 and eq_revenue score of 0.0/100.
- DSRI of 0.7502 suggests that accounts receivable are growing slower than sales, which is generally a positive sign.
- SGI of 1.0299 indicates that sales growth is stable, which may reflect a steady demand for AGF's products.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Công ty Cổ phần Hùng Vương holding 79.6%, which raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder protection.
Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on AGF, particularly focusing on its earnings quality and potential manipulation risks before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for AGF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate