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Cyclicals sector

MIE

Cyclicals
Tổng Công ty Máy và Thiết bị Công nghiệp - CTCP
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Công nghiệp nặngCT
8.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.561
Current
8.300
Gap
+3.1%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA72.24B
Fair EV/EBITDA24.2x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
72.24B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
24.2x
-
Net Debt
532.26B
=
Equity Value
8.561
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MIE

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

57
Fair
Accrual Quality
97
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
64
Revenue Quality
13

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.65
Low Risk
DSRI
0.784
GMI
0.892
AQI
1.090
SGI
1.027
DEPI
1.024
SGAI
1.050
TATA
0.008
LVGI
1.014

MIE exhibits several concerning indicators, particularly its high ownership concentration by the state at 99.6%, which may limit accountability and transparency. The Beneish M-Score of -2.6478 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, but the earnings quality score of 56.7 indicates potential issues in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 56.7/100 indicates potential issues with cash conversion (0.0/100) and revenue recognition (12.7/100).
  • High state ownership at 99.6% may lead to governance issues and lack of minority shareholder protection.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.6478 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong accounts receivable quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective collection processes.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming state ownership at 99.6% raises concerns about governance and potential conflicts of interest, limiting the influence of minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor MIE's earnings quality metrics and governance practices, considering a cautious approach until improvements in cash conversion and revenue recognition are demonstrated.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.25
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.31
Negative
Composite
35
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-39.3%
Volatility
154.4%
Max Drawdown
-68.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
79.56P/E
P/B0.81
P/S0.69
ROE1.0%
ROA0.6%
EPS101.81
BVPS10021.56
Gross Margin11.7%
Net Margin0.9%
D/E0.79
Current Ratio1.64
Rev Growth2.5%
Profit Growth81.5%
EV/EBITDA18.56
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
142.0M
Charter Capital
1419.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Công nghiệp nặng
Sub-industry
Máy công nghiệp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MIE — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Vốn Nhà Nước
State
99.6%
141.4 trieu
Board & Management
Trần Thị Thu Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Trần Quốc Toản
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thành Đông
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Trung Thực
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Minh Việt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đậu Huy Ngọc Linh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Cù Ngọc Phương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Quốc Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Minh Huyền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Khánh Ly
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Quang Hòa
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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