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Consumer sector

SEA

Consumer
Tổng Công ty Thủy sản Việt Nam - Công ty Cổ phần
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
45.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
31.357
Current
45.000
Gap
-30.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
93.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.68%
x
D/(D+E)
7.00%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF229.52B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
229.52B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
31.357
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SEA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

52
Fair
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.17
Moderate
DSRI
0.683
GMI
0.940
AQI
0.986
SGI
1.260
DEPI
0.953
SGAI
0.799
TATA
0.084
LVGI
1.056

The Beneish M-Score of -2.1712 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 51.6 suggests potential concerns with cash conversion and revenue recognition, which warrant further scrutiny.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 51.6 indicates moderate risk, particularly due to a very low cash conversion score of 0.3/100, suggesting potential issues in translating earnings into cash.
  • The SGI of 1.2595 indicates aggressive growth, which may not be sustainable and could lead to future earnings volatility.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.6833 suggests that the company's receivables are well managed relative to sales, indicating a lower risk of revenue manipulation.
  • High scores in receivables and margin metrics (100.0/100) reflect strong operational efficiency in these areas.
Ownership Risk

With 63.4% of shares held by a state-owned enterprise, there may be potential conflicts of interest and less incentive for transparency. However, institutional ownership at 32.5% can provide some level of oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices, considering a cautious approach given the elevated risk signals. Engaging with management on earnings quality could provide further insights.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
16.88
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.01
Positive
Composite
36
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.6%
Volatility
112.2%
Max Drawdown
-50.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
25.47P/E
P/B2.18
P/S7.08
ROE8.8%
ROA7.9%
EPS1684.09
BVPS19668.52
Gross Margin19.0%
Net Margin27.8%
D/E0.08
Current Ratio4.05
Rev Growth26.0%
Profit Growth22.9%
EV/EBITDA124.32
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
125.0M
Charter Capital
1250.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Nuôi trồng nông & hải sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SEA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Vốn Nhà Nước
State
63.4%
79.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Địa Ốc Ngân Hiệp
Inst
24.0%
30.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Redwood
Inst
8.4%
10.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Gelex
Inst
2.4%
3.0 trieu
Công Ty Cổ Phần Nova Hospitality
Inst
2.1%
2.6 trieu
Board & Management
Nguyễn Văn Tân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Việt Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRƯƠNG BẢO KIM
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Phước Thái
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Thái Bá Nam
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Tiến Long
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thanh Tuấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Mai Xuân Phong
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Phương Lan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Ngọc Thạch
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Vĩnh Hòa
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Vũ Thị Hồng Gấm
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thành Trung
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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