VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

CNC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Công nghệ cao Traphaco
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
32.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
69.961
Current
32.000
Gap
+118.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
49.25%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.29%
x
D/(D+E)
50.75%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.21%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF45.25B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
45.25B
Growth Rate
2.21%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
69.961
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CNC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

74
Good
Accrual Quality
54
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.89
Low Risk
DSRI
0.646
GMI
0.955
AQI
2.374
SGI
0.973
DEPI
1.062
SGAI
1.129
TATA
-0.122
LVGI
1.009

CNC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.886, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 73.6 suggests some areas of concern, particularly in revenue recognition, which scored 0.0/100.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for revenue indicates significant issues in revenue recognition practices.
  • SGAI of 1.1286 suggests potential inefficiencies in selling, general, and administrative expenses relative to sales.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.886 indicates a low probability of earnings manipulation.
  • High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 reflects strong cash generation capabilities.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Công ty Cổ phần Traphaco holding 51.0%, which could lead to potential governance risks and reduced minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor revenue recognition closely and consider engaging with management regarding transparency in financial reporting. Given the strong cash conversion, it may be prudent to hold while assessing future earnings quality improvements.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.08
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.37
Negative
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-18.6%
Volatility
57.5%
Max Drawdown
-31.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
11.57P/E
P/B1.97
P/S0.75
ROE19.4%
ROA9.5%
EPS3167.93
BVPS16777.10
Gross Margin21.7%
Net Margin7.2%
D/E1.04
Current Ratio1.34
Rev Growth-2.7%
Profit Growth-8.8%
EV/EBITDA5.85
Div Yield6.1%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
11.4M
Charter Capital
113.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CNC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Traphaco
Inst
51.0%
5.8 trieu
america limited liability company
Inst
7.1%
809.700
Vũ Thị Thuận
Indiv
4.8%
540.000
Trần Túc Mã
Indiv
3.1%
349.822
Nguyễn Thị Bảo Ngọc
Indiv
2.1%
237.816
Nguyễn Duy Ký
Indiv
1.8%
203.295
Ma Thị Hiền
Indiv
1.7%
192.571
Trần Quang Liêm
Indiv
0.6%
72.122
Vũ Năng Liêu
Indiv
0.6%
71.427
Trần Thị Bích Ngọc
Indiv
0.5%
59.292
Nguyễn Thị Bảo Vân
Indiv
0.5%
52.390
Lương Trọng Hoàn
Indiv
0.3%
33.084
Trịnh Thanh Huyền
Indiv
0.3%
35.433
Nguyễn Thị Tuyết
Indiv
0.2%
25.272
Trần Công Vĩnh
Indiv
0.2%
22.800
nguyen-thi-van-anh
Indiv
0.1%
15.849
Board & Management
Trần Túc Mã3.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Duy Ký1.8%
Phó Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Ma Thị Hiền1.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quang Liêm0.6%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Năng Liêu0.6%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Trịnh Thanh Huyền0.3%
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Công Vĩnh0.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hoàng Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Nhượng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Lan
Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →