CTP
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CTP
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2020
CTP exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 5.1647, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 43.5/100, particularly low accrual and receivables metrics, further raise concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of 5.1647 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Earnings quality score of 43.5/100, with an accrual score of only 9.6/100, suggests poor earnings quality.
- DSRI of 1.6996 indicates a significant increase in receivables relative to sales, which may signal revenue recognition issues.
- Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation despite low accruals.
- SGI of 0.7454 suggests that sales growth is below industry average, which may indicate a conservative approach to revenue recognition.
The ownership structure is relatively fragmented, with the largest shareholder holding only 12.4%. This may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest among shareholders.
Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in CTP, focusing on verifying the sustainability of cash flows and the integrity of financial reporting.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for CTP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate