VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

CET

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần HTC Holding
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
8.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.334
Current
8.200
Gap
-35.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
10.668
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
10.668

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CET

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

18
Poor
Accrual Quality
30
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2021

17.47
High Risk
DSRI
14.096
GMI
8.260
AQI
5.787
SGI
1.043
DEPI
0.096
SGAI
0.309
TATA
0.408
LVGI
0.479

CET exhibits significant financial manipulation risk as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of 17.4669, far exceeding the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 22.2/100 further highlights severe concerns regarding the company's financial health and transparency.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 17.4669 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 22.2/100 reflects poor earnings quality, particularly with eq_accrual and eq_margin both at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests strong collection efficiency, indicating potential cash flow stability.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated with the top five shareholders holding over 72% of shares, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should proceed with caution, considering divestment or a thorough due diligence process to assess the sustainability of cash flows and potential earnings manipulation.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
3.80
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.65
Positive
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+133.3%
Volatility
95.4%
Max Drawdown
-39.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-17.24P/E
P/B0.77
P/S2381.76
ROE-4.4%
ROA-3.9%
EPS-475.56
BVPS10668.30
Gross Margin100.0%
Net Margin-13813.2%
D/E0.15
Current Ratio2.56
Rev Growth-100.0%
Profit Growth-4518.8%
EV/EBITDA-18.19
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.0M
Charter Capital
60.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng cá nhân
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CET — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Thương mại Trương Gia Việt Nam
Inst
21.8%
1.3 trieu
Huỳnh Văn Phát
Indiv
20.0%
1.2 trieu
Trương Phi Cường
Indiv
14.4%
872.900
Trần Đăng Khoa
Indiv
10.3%
622.800
Nguyễn Quang Thời
Indiv
5.5%
322.800
Trần Thị Thu
Indiv
4.9%
297.400
Cao Thị Thu Thủy
Indiv
4.6%
276.200
Nguyễn Hữu Trí
Indiv
4.1%
248.600
Hoàng Minh Thái
Indiv
3.3%
199.500
Nguyễn Ngọc Hưng
Indiv
3.2%
192.670
Bùi Thị Hải Yến
Indiv
3.0%
181.500
Vũ Ngọc Anh
Indiv
0.2%
10.000
Trần Thị Hoài
Indiv
0.2%
11.000
Bùi Trọng Nghĩa
Indiv
0.2%
10.000
Nguyễn Thị Duyên
Indiv
0.1%
7.225
Board & Management
Nguyễn Đức Thuận
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Lan
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Thành Nhân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Việt Tuấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Khắc Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Tạ Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quang Huy
Phó Giám đốc
Lê Văn Thắng
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →