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Cyclicals sector

DAH

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Khách sạn Đông Á
Du lịch và Giải trí/Du lịch & Giải tríCT
3.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
3.169
Current
3.000
Gap
+5.6%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDu lịch và Giải tríCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Du lịch và Giải trí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA21.81B
Fair EV/EBITDA18.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
21.81B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
18.0x
-
Net Debt
125.59B
=
Equity Value
3.169
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DAH

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

42
Weak
Accrual Quality
72
Cash Conversion
1
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-3.59
Low Risk
DSRI
0.178
GMI
0.325
AQI
1.045
SGI
1.569
DEPI
0.585
SGAI
4.030
TATA
0.001
LVGI
0.856

DAH exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.5851, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the high SGI of 1.5686 and low earnings quality metrics suggest potential concerns regarding revenue growth sustainability and margin pressures.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.5686 indicates aggressive revenue growth which may not be sustainable.
  • Low eq_margin and eq_revenue scores (0.0/100) raise concerns about profitability and revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.5851 suggests low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High eq_accrual score of 99.6/100 indicates strong accrual quality.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows significant concentration with the top shareholder holding 17.8%, which could lead to potential governance issues and conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DAH's revenue growth and margin performance, considering a cautious approach until clearer signs of sustainable profitability emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.37
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.31
Negative
Composite
43
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+1.1%
Volatility
18.3%
Max Drawdown
-24.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-3.61P/E
P/B0.30
P/S4.81
ROE-7.9%
ROA-6.7%
EPS-831.89
BVPS10121.67
Gross Margin-1.9%
Net Margin-133.4%
D/E0.17
Current Ratio1.54
Rev Growth-29.3%
Profit Growth-1122.9%
EV/EBITDA27.47
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
84.2M
Charter Capital
842.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Du lịch và Giải trí
Industry (ICB L3)
Du lịch & Giải trí
Sub-industry
Khách sạn
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DAH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Toàn cầu HIT
Inst
17.8%
15.0 trieu
Trần Minh Tuấn
Indiv
8.9%
7.5 trieu
Trần Kim Phượng
Indiv
4.8%
1.7 trieu
Phạm Phan Anh
Indiv
4.2%
3.5 trieu
Nguyễn Đức Thịnh
Indiv
4.2%
1.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Mbg Lạc Sanh Phú Yên
Inst
2.4%
2.0 trieu
nguyen-van-dong
Indiv
0.1%
50.000
Board & Management
Trần Minh Tuấn8.9%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Thanh
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Thảo
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Hải Yến
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Huy Thành
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Trường Giang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Nữ Ngọc Anh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thanh
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Trường Sơn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Nguyệt
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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