POM
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — POM
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2021
The Beneish M-Score of -2.3449 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 44.8/100, particularly the cash conversion score of 0.0/100, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.
- Earnings Quality Score of 44.8/100, with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100 indicating significant issues in converting earnings into cash.
- SGI of 1.4257 suggests aggressive growth which may not be supported by underlying cash flows.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.3449 indicates a lower risk of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold of -1.78.
- Receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
The top shareholder, Công ty TNHH Tm - Sx Thép Việt, holds a significant 52.5% stake, indicating potential influence over corporate decisions, which may pose risks related to minority shareholder interests.
Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and consider the implications of aggressive growth strategies before making investment decisions. A deeper analysis of operational efficiency and cash management practices is recommended.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for POM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate