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Consumer sector

DHG

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dược Hậu Giang
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
101.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
High
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
161.662
Current
101.000
Gap
+60.1%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
79.42%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.01%
x
D/(D+E)
20.58%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.43%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF1181.83B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
1181.83B
Growth Rate
5.43%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
161.662
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DHG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

77
Good
Accrual Quality
72
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
82
Revenue Quality
11

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.68
Low Risk
DSRI
0.966
GMI
0.920
AQI
1.028
SGI
1.078
DEPI
1.318
SGAI
1.184
TATA
-0.070
LVGI
0.640

The Beneish M-Score of -2.6758 indicates that DHG is not likely engaging in earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the low revenue quality score (10.9/100) raises concerns about the sustainability of revenue recognition, which could pose risks in the Vietnamese market context.

Red Flags
  • Low revenue quality score of 10.9/100 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition.
  • High DEPI of 1.3176 indicates increasing depreciation relative to sales, which could signal aggressive accounting practices.
Positive Signals
  • Strong earnings quality score of 76.9/100, particularly high cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables quality (100.0/100), indicating solid cash flow management.
  • Majority ownership by TAISHO PHARMACEUTICAL CO., LTD. (51.0%) and state ownership (43.3%) suggests stability and commitment from significant stakeholders.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with over 94% held by institutional and state entities, reduces the risk of hostile takeovers but may limit minority shareholder influence and transparency.

Recommendation

Monitor revenue recognition practices closely and consider engaging with management regarding the low revenue quality score. Given the strong institutional backing, a cautious investment approach may be warranted.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
10.47
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.25
Positive
Composite
73
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+12.5%
Volatility
12.5%
Max Drawdown
-12.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
15.49P/E
P/B3.19
P/S2.51
ROE20.7%
ROA15.3%
EPS6519.16
BVPS31643.51
Gross Margin47.6%
Net Margin16.2%
D/E0.25
Current Ratio4.03
Rev Growth7.4%
Profit Growth9.8%
EV/EBITDA12.20
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
130.7M
Charter Capital
1307.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DHG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
TAISHO PHARMACEUTICAL CO., LTD.
Inst
51.0%
66.7 trieu
Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Vốn Nhà Nước
State
43.3%
56.6 trieu
Ftif - Templeton Frontier Markets Fund
Inst
2.8%
3.7 trieu
Deutsche Bank AG & Deutsche Asset Management (Asia) Ltd.
Inst
1.2%
1.0 trieu
Korea Investment Trust Management Company
Inst
1.2%
1.0 trieu
Dragon Capital
Inst
1.1%
937.306
Công Ty TNHH VinaCapital Corporate Finance Việt Nam
Inst
0.9%
825.510
Vietnam Equity Holding
Inst
0.9%
771.560
tgit-templeton emerging markets small cap fund
Inst
0.8%
1.1 trieu
Citgroup Global Markets Limited
Inst
0.7%
615.501
Quỹ Đầu tư Chứng khoán Y tế Bản Việt
Inst
0.6%
541.313
Vietnam Investment Limited
Inst
0.6%
481.510
Sgam Vietnam Opportunities Fund
Inst
0.6%
480.000
JF Vietnam Opportunities Fund
Inst
0.5%
440.962
VOF Investment Limited
Inst
0.4%
383.680
Templeton Global Investment Trust - Templeton Emerging Markets Small Cap Fund
Inst
0.4%
349.510
Fullerton
Indiv
0.4%
345.006
Deutsche Bank & UBS AG London
Inst
0.4%
338.104
tgit-templeton frontier markets fund
Inst
0.4%
466.848
Mirae Asset Maps Opportunity
Indiv
0.3%
293.169
Pca International Funds Spc
Inst
0.3%
264.510
Amundi Vietnam Opportunities Fund
Inst
0.2%
200.450
PHEIM AIZAWA TRUST
Inst
0.2%
199.493
asia value investment limited
Inst
0.2%
196.220
UBS AG London Branch
Inst
0.2%
187.790
Vietnam Emerging Equity Fund Limited
Inst
0.2%
183.076
Công Đoàn Công ty Cổ Phần Dược Hậu Giang
Inst
0.2%
271.167
Vietnam Ventures Limited
Inst
0.2%
173.160
Croesus Global Equity Limited
Inst
0.2%
164.200
Lionglobal Vietnam Fund
Inst
0.2%
154.419
aizawa securities company limited
Inst
0.2%
138.630
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam Fund I
Inst
0.2%
133.576
Lê Minh Hồng
Indiv
0.1%
123.536
nguyen-nhu-song
Indiv
0.1%
91.531
Board & Management
Nguyễn Ngọc Diệp
Giám đốc Sản xuất/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hồ Bửu Huân
Kế toán trưởng
Dương Kim Loan
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đoàn Đình Duy Khương
Tổng Giám đốc điều hành/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thị Hương Lan
Giám đốc Nhân sự
Võ Văn Kim Y
Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Maki Kamijo
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Hồng Nhung
Giám đốc Tài chính
Đỗ Lê Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Jun Kuroda
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Tomoyuki Kawata
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Thị Thu Hà
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Thị Phương Loan
Giám đốc Chất lượng
Masashi Nakaura
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Việt Thanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Computed 12/04/2026
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