VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

DHP

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Điện cơ Hải Phòng
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Điện tử & Thiết bị điệnCT
11.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
13.385
Current
11.800
Gap
+13.4%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA22.44B
Fair EV/EBITDA5.4x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
22.44B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
5.4x
-
Net Debt
-6.21B
=
Equity Value
13.385
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DHP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

65
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
32
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

-2.77
Low Risk
DSRI
0.725
GMI
1.081
AQI
1.000
SGI
1.031
DEPI
0.940
SGAI
0.951
TATA
-0.038
LVGI
0.783

DHP exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.7688, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 76.1 suggests potential concerns in revenue recognition and margin quality, which could pose risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality margin score is only 7.2/100, indicating significant concerns regarding profitability and potential revenue recognition issues.
  • Revenue quality score is 0.0/100, suggesting that revenue recognition practices may not align with cash flow performance.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7688 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow management relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated with the top five shareholders holding 67% of the company, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and margin improvements while considering the strong cash flow management as a positive aspect. A deeper analysis of the company's governance structure is also recommended.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
4.57
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.20
Positive
Composite
60
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+9.8%
Volatility
22.4%
Max Drawdown
-9.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.53P/E
P/B0.63
P/S0.49
ROE7.5%
ROA6.5%
EPS1382.95
BVPS18675.23
Gross Margin14.1%
Net Margin5.7%
D/E0.18
Current Ratio4.83
Rev Growth-3.4%
Profit Growth-0.6%
EV/EBITDA5.39
Div Yield4.2%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.5M
Charter Capital
94.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Điện tử & Thiết bị điện
Sub-industry
Thiết bị điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DHP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Hoàng Thanh Hải
Indiv
27.5%
2.6 trieu
nguyen-thu-ha
Indiv
21.1%
2.0 trieu
Nguyễn Quốc Tú
Indiv
7.0%
663.850
Trần Quang Hưng
Indiv
6.4%
605.276
Lê Trung Hiếu
Indiv
5.0%
474.500
Lê Thị Bích Huệ
Indiv
3.7%
352.625
Phan Quang Huy
Indiv
3.2%
300.000
Trần Văn Long
Indiv
2.8%
265.369
Nguyễn Hữu Thành
Indiv
2.2%
209.776
Mai Văn Minh
Indiv
2.1%
201.394
Dương Tạ Hòa Bình
Indiv
1.4%
132.684
Nguyễn Minh Chung
Indiv
1.1%
100.009
Trần Quốc Tuấn
Indiv
0.4%
42.400
Võ Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
0.4%
38.871
Nguyễn Văn Kháng
Indiv
0.3%
27.864
Trần Tuấn Linh
Indiv
0.3%
25.000
Tạ Quốc Bảo
Indiv
0.2%
17.352
Board & Management
Hoàng Thanh Hải27.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Bích Huệ3.7%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Văn Long2.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Văn Minh2.1%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Thị Lan Phương1.3%
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Mạnh Hùng0.4%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Kháng0.3%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Tuấn Linh0.3%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Vũ Duy Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →